NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad7ef126caf0e3719ccd310b88f8e4dae7c1898bbc0d3b9e3d1935b1a314e342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 2,384$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 44c | 1,808$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.58 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Over | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 57c | 429.72$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.22 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 310.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 51c | 301.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 44c | 230.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 56c | 220.67$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 199.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 43c | 191.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 45c | 181.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 45c | 181.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 8c | 177.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 138.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…b221backed Over | 54c | 115.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 44c | 114.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 45c | 76.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 48c | 74.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 64.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 52c | 60.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 57c | 60.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 56c | 57.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Under | 44c | 57.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 47c | 56.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 45c | 50.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 44c | 50.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 57c | 47.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 43.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 44c | 39.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 57c | 35.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…f853backed Over | 53c | 31.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Under | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 54c | 29.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Over | 53c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 25.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775f…c82dbacked Over | 56c | 23.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 54c | 23.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 44c | 23.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Under | 44c | 23.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 53c | 19.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5this page
- Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.