NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x117229d10a75da6ee391bd6a8790b56087193b8cff7a9993b8380b6aced846a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 52c | 18,396$9,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,834.94 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 11,746$5,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,696.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 47c | 4,017$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.99 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 3,967$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.72 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 3,520$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 1,971$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.8 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,500$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under | 68c | 1,442$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.86 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 1,067$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,025$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…7782backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Over | 51c | 947.39$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.02 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 748$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 49c | 557.12$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.83 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 500$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 21c | 475.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.97 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Under | 7c | 386.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 246.12$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 36c | 232$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 15c | 195.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Over | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 34c | 190$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 53c | 181.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 34c | 169$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 10c | 136.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed Under | 47c | 135.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 52c | 118.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 116.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 49c | 103.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 98.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 52c | 95.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 47c | 94.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Over | 46c | 94.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 90.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 82.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 47c | 58.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.7wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 57.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Under | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…07d1backed Over | 52c | 49.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 50c | 49.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 73c | 45.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5367…dfc1backed Over | 54c | 43.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 65c | 41.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 32c | 36.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 51c | 35.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 47c | 32.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 48c | 29.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 55c | 26.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 23.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5this page
- Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.