TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Over53c25,650$13,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,995.6920545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c13,503$6,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,345.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9916346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over52c9,856$5,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,730.949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c8,082$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.891,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c7,330$3,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,486.144,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over55c6,497$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.121,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Over53c5,501$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.355561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under48c2,651$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.6414441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over51c2,284$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.0419359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under47c2,027$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.8843052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Under47c1,886$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.433831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under46c1,534$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.484535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c1,357$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.43,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under47c1,236$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.9265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c1,023$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.551,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c1,022$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.941,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Over54c900.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.172842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under48c883.55$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under47c844.46$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.897236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c772.21$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.692,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Over48c724.88$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.941952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c637.62$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.931,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over60c587.5$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Under51c572.51$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.8638942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c499.95$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9833150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under29c497.25$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.181,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c439.18$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under48c435.96$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2619348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over48c423.37$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1514946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under11c368$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.821,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under48c320.92$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0418343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Under48c317.38$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.343351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under45c309.98$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4919745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under47c309$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2329848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under52c302.57$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3332151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Under50c281.3$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.653828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under47c266.26$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1424949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under11c248.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c226.7$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.821,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c208.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.161,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9215543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c191.32$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.591,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over48c185.71$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.571,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c178.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.072,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c177.84$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under22c176.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.123745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over56c173.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5817758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under20c171.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under47c168.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.939448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under52c139.65$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.51,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over49c132.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5322752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under47c110.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c105.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Over51c104.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.291560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over55c101.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.619454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.55954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.511143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over38c96.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.691,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.566543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6248957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Under48c82.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.533743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c82.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Under38c75.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9725850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeda…6595backed Under51c74.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.732050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.782,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under54c70.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.518544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over35c68.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6210523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0139041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over62c65.58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.837753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c61.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.822,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3096956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c71…3414backed Under50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.13342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Under47c54.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.610046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…07d1backed Over54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.851346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under47c50.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.914347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.536749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…4edcbacked Over54c43.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.132853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under35c42.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7631345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under47c40.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3724150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Over76c39.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.477763.6%49 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f74…4adabacked Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4110850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Over48c37.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.745560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Under48c37.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.149245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2422756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf885…aac5backed Under60c30.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.828943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over51c29.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5511232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed Over50c28.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.293754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Over55c27.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4710246.1%47 W · 55 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Over52c27.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.267945.6%36 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc547…bdaabacked Over54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.432552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…2750backed Over54c25.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over47c24.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.181,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over47c24.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over47c24.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1837853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.