NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc438d1f5ac8b5989e9b0f36791df857da650ce13c258c54a41e4c64f9559056d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 53c | 25,650$13,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,995.69 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 13,503$6,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,345.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 52c | 9,856$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.9 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 8,082$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.89 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 7,330$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 6,497$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.12 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Over | 53c | 5,501$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.35 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 48c | 2,651$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.64 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 51c | 2,284$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.04 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 47c | 2,027$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.88 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 47c | 1,886$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.43 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Under | 46c | 1,534$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.48 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 1,357$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.92 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 1,023$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.55 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 1,022$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.94 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Over | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 48c | 883.55$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.1 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Under | 47c | 844.46$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.89 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 772.21$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.69 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Over | 48c | 724.88$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 637.62$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.93 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 60c | 587.5$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Under | 51c | 572.51$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.86 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 52c | 499.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 29c | 497.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 439.18$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 48c | 435.96$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 48c | 423.37$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.15 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 11c | 368$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 48c | 320.92$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 48c | 317.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.34 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 45c | 309.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 52c | 302.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Under | 50c | 281.3$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 47c | 266.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 11c | 248.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 226.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 208.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 191.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 48c | 185.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 178.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 177.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Under | 22c | 176.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 56c | 173.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 20c | 171.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 47c | 168.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 52c | 139.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 49c | 132.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 47c | 110.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 105.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Over | 51c | 104.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 55c | 101.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…4068backed Under | 48c | 82.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 82.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Under | 38c | 75.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…6595backed Under | 51c | 74.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 54c | 70.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 62c | 65.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 61.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…3414backed Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 47c | 54.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…07d1backed Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 47c | 50.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…4edcbacked Over | 54c | 43.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 35c | 42.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 47c | 40.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 76c | 39.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 48c | 37.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Under | 48c | 37.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…aac5backed Under | 60c | 30.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 51c | 29.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Over | 50c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Over | 55c | 27.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 52c | 27.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…bdaabacked Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…2750backed Over | 54c | 25.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 24.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 47c | 24.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 47c | 24.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5this page
- Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.