Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e85b259fcb04645d9b88e4097c2a3d7606a1e9d279a331eb5baaf0b873e68cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Sabalenka, Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,088,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,180,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,088,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,076 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rybakina | 68c | 361,208$245,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,962.65 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Rybakina | 41c | 162,956$66,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,144.1 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Sabalenka | 60c | 147,797$88,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,678.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Sabalenka | 61c | 135,872$82,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,882 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabalenka | 18c | 131,156$23,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,448.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Rybakina | 40c | 117,000$46,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,200 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Sabalenka | 59c | 112,785$66,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,543.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Rybakina | 41c | 105,651$43,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,340.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Rybakina | 40c | 99,469$39,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,681.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Rybakina | 46c | 76,970$35,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,254.07 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Rybakina | 21c | 71,266$15,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,096.51 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Rybakina | 57c | 60,000$34,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,799.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Sabalenka | 53c | 55,166$29,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,480.54 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sabalenka | 52c | 48,328$25,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,191.71 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sabalenka | 43c | 46,204$19,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,942.03 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…2e4cbacked Sabalenka | 4c | 43,674$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Rybakina | 39c | 40,547$15,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,736.18 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sabalenka | 69c | 37,849$26,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,193.17 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Rybakina | 41c | 36,370$14,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,627.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Sabalenka | 61c | 30,116$18,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,370.66 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Rybakina | 40c | 26,107$10,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,695.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Sabalenka | 61c | 25,574$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Rybakina | 40c | 25,381$10,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,228.4 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Sabalenka | 61c | 24,716$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Rybakina | 43c | 24,632$10,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,159.32 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Sabalenka | 60c | 22,500$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Rybakina | 79c | 19,889$15,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,172.71 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Sabalenka | 60c | 18,350$11,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,010.18 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Sabalenka | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Rybakina | 40c | 16,050$6,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,630.1 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Rybakina | 39c | 16,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,699.96 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Sabalenka | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Rybakina | 41c | 14,639$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,637.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Sabalenka | 60c | 13,395$8,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,037.01 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Sabalenka | 45c | 13,299$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Sabalenka | 61c | 13,171$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Sabalenka | 44c | 12,818$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Sabalenka | 60c | 12,607$7,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,563.92 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Sabalenka | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Sabalenka | 60c | 12,460$7,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,509.99 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Sabalenka | 57c | 12,370$7,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,038.45 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0200backed Rybakina | 41c | 12,189$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,191.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rybakina | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sabalenka | 60c | 11,280$6,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,734.22 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Rybakina | 39c | 10,982$4,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 36cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…f1d7backed Sabalenka | 60c | 10,772$6,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463.09 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Sabalenka | 60c | 10,612$6,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,367.06 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Sabalenka | 66c | 10,531$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Sabalenka | 50c | 10,204$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Sabalenka | 60c | 10,053$6,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,031.61 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Sabalenka | 36c | 10,039$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rybakina | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…8e0dbacked Sabalenka | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Sabalenka | 61c | 9,996$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.56 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Rybakina | 41c | 9,760$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,758.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Sabalenka | 60c | 9,750$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rybakina | 56c | 9,694$5,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.02 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabalenka | 59c | 9,608$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,668.69 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Sabalenka | 59c | 9,269$5,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.63 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rybakina | 40c | 9,242$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,545.01 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f58…6f3cbacked Sabalenka | 60c | 9,167$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Rybakina | 55c | 9,000$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.99 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Sabalenka | 1c | 8,868$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Sabalenka | 60c | 8,667$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sabalenka | 61c | 8,445$5,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115.08 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Sabalenka | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Sabalenka | 61c | 7,542$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Rybakina | 41c | 7,346$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.34 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sabalenka | 47c | 7,251$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.14 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Sabalenka | 60c | 6,940$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Rybakina | 33c | 6,922$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.99 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Sabalenka | 60c | 6,092$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.47 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Sabalenka | 44c | 6,067$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.03 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Rybakina | 41c | 5,936$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.46 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…51afbacked Sabalenka | 60c | 5,900$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabalenka | 68c | 5,878$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972.62 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Sabalenka | 41c | 5,865$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Sabalenka | 61c | 5,802$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…09efbacked Sabalenka | 60c | 5,467$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Sabalenka | 48c | 5,244$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Sabalenka | 1c | 5,059$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Sabalenka | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Sabalenka | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rybakina | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Rybakina | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Sabalenka | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Rybakina | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rybakina | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Sabalenka | 42c | 4,962$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Sabalenka | 61c | 4,628$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rybakina | 40c | 4,625$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.5 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Sabalenka | 22c | 4,575$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Sabalenka | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…1944backed Sabalenka | 45c | 4,466$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…ac9fbacked Sabalenka | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Rybakina | 41c | 4,232$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.08 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rybakina | 40c | 4,142$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.2 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Sabalenka | 42c | 4,008$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Sabalenka | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Rybakina | 51c | 4,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinathis page
- Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs RybakinaRybakina won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5)Rybakina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.