NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x401742c86f0cff9a8683768a810e9ed4500a4c55db0b6ea331103927c9665d51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Senators, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,225,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,245,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,225,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Devils | 51c | 328,393$166,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,917 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Devils | 46c | 191,203$88,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,351.2 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Senators | 49c | 133,239$64,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,699.08 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Senators | 53c | 98,157$52,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,275.98 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Senators | 48c | 70,900$34,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,135 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Senators | 50c | 52,797$26,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,465.04 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Devils | 48c | 46,438$22,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,050.78 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Devils | 50c | 45,485$22,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,887.88 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Senators | 54c | 34,972$19,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,033.59 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Devils | 52c | 31,923$16,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,323.04 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Devils | 52c | 25,579$13,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,278.1 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 51c | 24,950$12,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,723.5 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Senators | 47c | 22,761$10,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,697.53 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Devils | 53c | 20,734$11,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,722.15 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 49c | 17,566$8,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,615.93 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 49c | 17,126$8,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,464.38 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…e292backed Senators | 52c | 16,331$8,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,430.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 47c | 15,467$7,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,343.86 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Senators | 26c | 14,409$3,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 49c | 14,000$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,139.95 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Senators | 48c | 13,548$6,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,562.14 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Devils | 54c | 13,180$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.88 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Devils | 24c | 12,296$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,322.83 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Senators | 52c | 11,671$6,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,025.27 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Senators | 43c | 11,563$4,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,976.27 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Senators | 17c | 11,348$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.7 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Senators | 50c | 10,336$5,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,167.91 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Senators | 49c | 10,192$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.95 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Senators | 54c | 9,968$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,424.99 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Senators | 49c | 9,850$4,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.53 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Senators | 48c | 9,800$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Senators | 48c | 9,097$4,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…6813backed Senators | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Senators | 54c | 9,000$4,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.95 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Devils | 53c | 8,878$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,172.84 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Senators | 48c | 8,778$4,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Senators | 51c | 8,034$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Devils | 77c | 7,585$5,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.27 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Devils | 53c | 7,563$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.94 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 49c | 7,467$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.48 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Senators | 48c | 7,324$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.33 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Senators | 48c | 7,144$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Senators | 46c | 6,769$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.18 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…d750backed Senators | 54c | 6,630$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Senators | 48c | 6,120$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.6 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Senators | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed Senators | 53c | 5,757$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Senators | 48c | 5,538$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.38 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 51c | 5,430$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.03 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Senators | 18c | 5,363$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.66 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Devils | 46c | 5,171$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.92 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Senators | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…2c2abacked Devils | 51c | 4,823$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabe…3363backed Devils | 46c | 4,740$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 48c | 4,706$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Senators | 54c | 4,522$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.39 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 53c | 4,370$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.86 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Senators | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…9125backed Devils | 48c | 4,114$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.93 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.15 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 55c | 3,144$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Senators | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Senators | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Devils | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.98 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Senators | 55c | 2,971$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.73 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Devils | 22c | 2,954$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.46 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Senators | 50c | 2,732$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.61 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Senators | 53c | 2,712$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.93 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Senators | 56c | 2,570$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed Senators | 48c | 2,539$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Senators | 61c | 2,514$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.64 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Senators | 48c | 2,376$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.94 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f94dbacked Senators | 54c | 2,349$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Senators | 48c | 2,348$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.8 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Senators | 51c | 2,343$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Devils | 48c | 2,291$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.06 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Senators | 72c | 2,195$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.89 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Senators | 46c | 2,184$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Senators | 52c | 2,180$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.6 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Devils | 53c | 2,140$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.8 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Senators | 53c | 2,132$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Senators | 51c | 2,130$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.45 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Devils | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Devils | 45c | 1,949$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.09 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Senators | 60c | 1,935$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.84 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Senators | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Senators | 48c | 1,869$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.12 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Devils | 45c | 1,832$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.37 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Senators | 52c | 1,808$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.26 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Senators | 51c | 1,806$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.78 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Senators | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ed…e473backed Devils | 57c | 1,700$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Senators | 50c | 1,677$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.35 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Devils | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Senators | 74c | 1,623$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.95 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed Senators | 49c | 1,548$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Senators | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Senators | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.99 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Devilsthis page
- Senators vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Senators vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Senators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.