NHL · resolved market
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a7ffe6e6b4603ef5c7641ed22bfbf93b4f5222a6a8946698d991d1fb35ac455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Senators, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Devils | 68c | 5,620$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.95 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Senators | 33c | 4,999$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.66 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Senators | 32c | 2,547$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.35 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 69c | 1,458$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.88 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Senators | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Devils | 67c | 877.79$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.67 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Senators | 32c | 746.05$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Devils | 68c | 484.95$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Senators | 31c | 368.24$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Devils | 56c | 212.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devils | 65c | 212.23$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Senators | 28c | 204.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Senators | 35c | 181.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Devils | 67c | 175.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Senators | 42c | 165.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Devils | 74c | 162.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Devils | 58c | 161.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Devils | 70c | 125.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…eb54backed Senators | 55c | 121.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Devils | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Senators | 43c | 97.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…f339backed Devils | 63c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Devils | 67c | 90.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Devils | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Devils | 57c | 79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Senators | 30c | 76.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Devils | 60c | 75.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Devils | 67c | 74.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Devils | 67c | 64.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Devils | 67c | 58.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Devils | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Devils | 67c | 51.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Devils | 66c | 50.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Devils | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 24c | 46.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Devils | 67c | 45.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Devils | 65c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Devils | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Devils | 67c | 41.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Senators | 30c | 40.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Devils | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Senators | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Devils | 72c | 34.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…6de6backed Senators | 34c | 31.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Devils | 67c | 30.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Devils | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Devils | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Devils | 72c | 23.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Devils | 66c | 22.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Devils | 67c | 20.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Devils | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Devils | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)this page
- Senators vs. DevilsDevils won
- Senators vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Senators vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.