TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,639,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,198,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,639,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,045 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe934…640bbacked Timberwolves45c540,000$241,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,599.973860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Pistons55c526,518$289,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237,425.5687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons55c516,208$283,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232,743.1972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6e…48e6backed Timberwolves45c180,314$81,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,181.272661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves45c164,040$73,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,176.966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons56c150,000$84,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,999.9816841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Timberwolves36c145,065$52,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,004.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Timberwolves47c126,538$59,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,361.9820545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves45c123,000$55,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,5271,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons52c119,082$61,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,635.231,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Pistons68c110,006$74,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,661.3210252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves47c109,079$51,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,267.1548343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Pistons56c98,383$55,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,382.681457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves47c96,134$45,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,291.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons55c91,427$49,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,444.8936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Timberwolves44c90,188$39,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,533.4420744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Pistons54c80,000$42,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,199.9415140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Pistons49c79,270$38,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,427.939655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Timberwolves45c70,633$31,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,775.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves21c64,385$13,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,415.584,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves48c61,462$29,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,425.931,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Pistons52c59,406$30,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,514.8611241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Timberwolves33c57,796$18,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,836.7744352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons54c55,343$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,343.1534456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Timberwolves45c54,919$24,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,713.6116039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Pistons46c51,469$23,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,745.1711543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pistons52c48,175$25,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,978.4349244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pistons52c45,400$23,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,845.9429055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed Pistons45c44,667$20,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,566.672360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pistons65c44,444$28,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,555.470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves48c42,711$20,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,309.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Timberwolves55c41,000$22,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,549.9910459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves48c38,093$18,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,439.081,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Timberwolves46c35,270$16,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,247.763554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pistons45c34,436$15,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,939.8237539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Timberwolves47c34,333$16,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,193.997142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons55c32,836$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,836.4611457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d1…cd88backed Pistons53c28,790$15,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,531.34151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves12c28,437$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves48c28,330$13,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,697.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves46c27,487$12,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,681.733,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves27c27,118$7,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,430.811,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Timberwolves45c27,089$12,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,190.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0287…8a29backed Timberwolves47c26,208$12,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,314.931118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Timberwolves29c25,460$7,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,306.45048%24 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Timberwolves0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Timberwolves46c25,000$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,499.8431445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdb…3629backed Pistons55c24,529$13,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,917.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Timberwolves49c23,556$11,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,449.715643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Pistons48c23,433$11,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,222.119053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves47c22,291$10,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,451.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Timberwolves48c21,904$10,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,495.2911458.8%67 W · 47 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Pistons49c21,284$10,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,854.8511547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves27c21,195$5,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,644.971,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Timberwolves2c18,887$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.733179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Timberwolves47c18,702$8,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,747.3225049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Timberwolves45c18,667$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,400.335534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves45c18,300$8,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,234.8924942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Pistons55c18,016$9,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,106.9816547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Pistons53c17,999$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,398.626045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves10c17,127$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.353,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons55c17,062$9,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,600.512,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Timberwolves55c16,900$9,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,2955032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons52c16,387$8,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,849.791,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves50c16,094$8,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,009.5732540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c36…7854backed Pistons55c15,971$8,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,187.042263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Pistons51c15,901$8,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,726.2487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves45c15,555$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.7531644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons45c15,514$7,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,496.461,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Pistons47c15,407$7,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,095.6639349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Pistons52c15,000$7,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2309159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Pistons45c15,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2503847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Pistons54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.9619751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e6…7ce6backed Timberwolves55c15,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,249.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Timberwolves51c14,370$7,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,353.3929250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves44c14,000$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,160.051,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons53c14,000$7,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Timberwolves48c13,589$6,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,522.524057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Timberwolves46c13,354$6,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,142.92951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Pistons47c13,135$6,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,961.5519957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Pistons45c13,000$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,169.9747043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Timberwolves48c12,996$6,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,238.0438251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves46c12,500$5,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,72566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pistons54c12,198$6,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,592.960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves45c12,078$5,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,435.148352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Pistons45c11,900$5,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,544.984445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Timberwolves47c11,319$5,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,271.893450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Timberwolves48c11,268$5,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,402.0911843.2%51 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pistons53c11,118$5,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,225.671,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Timberwolves44c11,109$4,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888.1827241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Pistons56c10,714$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.2910747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Timberwolves48c10,700$5,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1367240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Pistons53c10,669$5,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,030.7285248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves27c10,414$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Pistons54c10,003$5,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.7615740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Timberwolves44c10,002$4,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400.8838434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445f…07d4backed Timberwolves53c10,000$5,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,348.812050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Timberwolves46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6003951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0045…5ac5backed Pistons44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.971369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+62%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.