NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17dafc4d9c1128c17f936e35f6772d02c0eb2f637b883b95f8dc891740d2d6cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,639,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,198,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,639,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,045 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 540,000$241,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241,599.97 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 55c | 526,518$289,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237,425.56 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 55c | 516,208$283,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232,743.19 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…48e6backed Timberwolves | 45c | 180,314$81,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,181.27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 45c | 164,040$73,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,176.9 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons | 56c | 150,000$84,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,999.98 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Timberwolves | 36c | 145,065$52,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,004.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 126,538$59,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,361.98 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 45c | 123,000$55,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,527 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 52c | 119,082$61,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,635.23 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Pistons | 68c | 110,006$74,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,661.32 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves | 47c | 109,079$51,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,267.15 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Pistons | 56c | 98,383$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,382.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 47c | 96,134$45,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,291.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons | 55c | 91,427$49,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,444.89 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 90,188$39,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,533.44 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Pistons | 54c | 80,000$42,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,199.94 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Pistons | 49c | 79,270$38,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,427.93 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 70,633$31,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,775.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 21c | 64,385$13,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,415.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 61,462$29,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,425.93 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Pistons | 52c | 59,406$30,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,514.86 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 57,796$18,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,836.77 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons | 54c | 55,343$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,343.15 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 54,919$24,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,713.61 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Pistons | 46c | 51,469$23,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,745.17 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pistons | 52c | 48,175$25,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,978.43 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Pistons | 52c | 45,400$23,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,845.94 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Pistons | 45c | 44,667$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,566.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pistons | 65c | 44,444$28,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,555.4 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 42,711$20,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,309.85 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Timberwolves | 55c | 41,000$22,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,549.99 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 38,093$18,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,439.08 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 35,270$16,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,247.76 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Pistons | 45c | 34,436$15,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,939.82 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Timberwolves | 47c | 34,333$16,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,193.99 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 55c | 32,836$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,836.46 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Pistons | 53c | 28,790$15,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,531.3 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 12c | 28,437$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 28,330$13,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,697.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 46c | 27,487$12,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,681.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 27c | 27,118$7,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,430.81 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Timberwolves | 45c | 27,089$12,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,190.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…8a29backed Timberwolves | 47c | 26,208$12,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,314.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Timberwolves | 29c | 25,460$7,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,306.4 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.84 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdb…3629backed Pistons | 55c | 24,529$13,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,917.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 23,556$11,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,449.7 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Pistons | 48c | 23,433$11,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,222.11 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 22,291$10,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,451.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 21,904$10,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,495.29 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Pistons | 49c | 21,284$10,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,854.85 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 21,195$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.97 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Timberwolves | 2c | 18,887$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.73 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 18,702$8,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,747.32 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Timberwolves | 45c | 18,667$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400.33 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 18,300$8,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,234.89 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Pistons | 55c | 18,016$9,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,106.98 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Pistons | 53c | 17,999$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,398.62 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 10c | 17,127$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.35 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 55c | 17,062$9,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600.51 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 16,900$9,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,295 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 52c | 16,387$8,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,849.79 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves | 50c | 16,094$8,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,009.57 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Pistons | 55c | 15,971$8,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,187.04 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 51c | 15,901$8,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,726.24 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves | 45c | 15,555$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.75 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 45c | 15,514$7,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,496.46 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Pistons | 47c | 15,407$7,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,095.66 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Pistons | 52c | 15,000$7,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,230 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Pistons | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Pistons | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.96 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…7ce6backed Timberwolves | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 14,370$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.39 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 44c | 14,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160.05 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 53c | 14,000$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,580 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Timberwolves | 48c | 13,589$6,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,522.52 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Timberwolves | 46c | 13,354$6,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,142.9 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Pistons | 47c | 13,135$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,961.55 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Pistons | 45c | 13,000$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,169.97 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 12,996$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,238.04 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves | 46c | 12,500$5,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,725 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 54c | 12,198$6,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,592.9 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 12,078$5,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,435.1 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Pistons | 45c | 11,900$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,544.98 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Timberwolves | 47c | 11,319$5,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,271.89 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Timberwolves | 48c | 11,268$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.09 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 53c | 11,118$5,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225.67 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Timberwolves | 44c | 11,109$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.18 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Pistons | 56c | 10,714$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.29 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 10,700$5,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,136 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Pistons | 53c | 10,669$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,030.72 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 27c | 10,414$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Pistons | 54c | 10,003$5,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.76 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Timberwolves | 44c | 10,002$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.88 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…07d4backed Timberwolves | 53c | 10,000$5,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…5ac5backed Pistons | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +62%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 200.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.