TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c16,292$7,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,742.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c12,818$6,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,328.052,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over12c9,555$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.834,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Under54c8,550$4,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,932.994052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under52c7,819$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.0616249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74c…0905backed Under49c6,044$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over29c5,965$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.743,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd437…844bbacked Over51c5,856$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f0…7474backed Over51c5,643$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c5,604$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e06…ce3cbacked Over51c5,592$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f04…ce13backed Under49c5,561$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f0…e7b3backed Under49c5,418$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.184100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick53cpaid+87.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x055e…2658backed Over51c5,417$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,762.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4181…8d4abacked Under49c5,397$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ffd…7410backed Over51c5,331$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe45…129cbacked Over51c5,331$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f8c…75a8backed Over51c5,258$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd6f…52f0backed Under49c5,236$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedff…96a8backed Under49c5,189$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6aa…6f88backed Over51c5,162$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2536…1daebacked Under49c5,122$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c62…a75dbacked Under49c5,030$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,565.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d94…32aabacked Under49c5,016$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x427f…7a3ebacked Under49c5,014$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b7…a172backed Over51c4,509$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0017…3523backed Under49c4,455$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b6…59bcbacked Over51c4,435$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over50c4,434$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20012844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4209…02ecbacked Under49c4,283$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb306…783bbacked Under49c4,265$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc56c…f798backed Over51c4,213$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472f…c36fbacked Under49c4,185$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x782a…0964backed Under49c4,177$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc304…892bbacked Under49c4,171$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f2…9191backed Over51c4,160$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a67…de5abacked Over51c4,103$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59bc…7d86backed Over51c4,094$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe838…f014backed Under49c4,079$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd67b…85e3backed Over51c4,079$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a10…c987backed Over51c4,064$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…31bcbacked Under49c4,006$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c3,890$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.062,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over48c3,855$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.0411543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39b5…4566backed Over51c3,827$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e7…984bbacked Over51c3,823$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac6…d7ccbacked Under49c3,732$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c3,686$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.981,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1f…b438backed Over51c3,580$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd94…637fbacked Under49c3,573$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…5bb6backed Under49c3,540$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under48c3,500$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.946654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd31…580ebacked Over51c3,403$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7299…f5dabacked Under49c3,402$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1783…f405backed Over51c3,366$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe96…6428backed Over51c3,258$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df6…ef60backed Under49c3,046$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5a5…2741backed Under49c2,965$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1366…a74ebacked Under49c2,961$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1374…32a4backed Over51c2,911$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under53c2,908$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.3583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91be…4a45backed Over51c2,907$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd5…c39fbacked Under49c2,904$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3e…e004backed Over51c2,899$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Under49c2,838$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.1711235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d7…bd09backed Over51c2,835$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa006…295fbacked Over51c2,815$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56bc…d02bbacked Under49c2,791$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb8c…5fccbacked Under49c2,760$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x473b…c26fbacked Under49c2,754$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7459…ec0ebacked Over51c2,750$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbf…ebc8backed Over51c2,749$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3580…7330backed Under49c2,732$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf127…121ebacked Over51c2,719$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd72f…fa30backed Under49c2,683$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbee6…9c9dbacked Under49c2,665$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c2,617$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f1c…97f7backed Under49c2,606$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b6…1ce6backed Over51c2,597$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3900…5596backed Over51c2,550$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ab…2866backed Over51c2,537$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb1…cf19backed Over51c2,456$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e4b…e6babacked Under49c2,456$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6245…8b1cbacked Over51c2,416$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa95e…a9f8backed Under49c2,402$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under52c2,400$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.9827241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8579…6465backed Over51c2,398$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9406…5381backed Over51c2,366$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc015…4bb9backed Under49c2,355$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18fd…07b3backed Under49c2,344$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c8c…3ca1backed Over51c2,332$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c2,325$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.451,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a7a…c0abbacked Over48c2,315$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.112445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c44…17e0backed Over51c2,288$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c7…fa2cbacked Under49c2,277$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4992…a93ebacked Over51c2,268$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf60…bcdbbacked Over51c2,268$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1194…8c3ebacked Under49c2,263$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3c…1129backed Under49c2,253$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc8…5aa7backed Under49c2,253$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.