NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd71c3df8dccef84e4cfe5cfe0d781e964fe685aab7d69bfae06e06262f687ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Timberwolves, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 55c | 93,126$50,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,361.32 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Timberwolves | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 49c | 16,616$8,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,142 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 40c | 9,534$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.12 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 9,494$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.06 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…5f15backed Timberwolves | 49c | 7,959$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 7,390$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.11 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5526…421cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 5,722$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…a719backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,673$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 5,499$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.51 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…91f3backed Pistons | 52c | 5,238$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…01aabacked Pistons | 52c | 5,160$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…3c4bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…b0d4backed Timberwolves | 49c | 5,099$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…0e83backed Pistons | 52c | 5,056$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…de12backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,790$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53af…fe79backed Pistons | 52c | 4,266$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 70c | 4,162$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,001$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.42 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…ffe2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,683$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Pistons | 61c | 2,949$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.69 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 2,879$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Timberwolves | 40c | 2,600$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af4…8168backed Pistons | 52c | 2,549$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e76…fdadbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,498$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193f…a32ebacked Pistons | 52c | 2,350$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…eaa6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,270$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…0ee0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,253$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 39c | 2,175$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Timberwolves | 41c | 2,161$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.2 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,966$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.96 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4f84backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Pistons | 60c | 1,730$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,255$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.91 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Timberwolves | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…495cbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 973.94$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Timberwolves | 48c | 972.99$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.03 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 965$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.2 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Pistons | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pistons | 53c | 927.67$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.53 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Pistons | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…3051backed Pistons | 60c | 827.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Pistons | 52c | 780$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Pistons | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 40c | 716.19$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.74 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves | 41c | 708$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.71 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Pistons | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 38c | 638.35$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.01 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 45c | 533$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.04 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Timberwolves | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Pistons | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Timberwolves | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…db4bbacked Pistons | 67c | 457.54$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Timberwolves | 40c | 450$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Timberwolves | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 55c | 431.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Pistons | 51c | 429.96$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.68 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 424$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Timberwolves | 41c | 416$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Timberwolves | 40c | 415.08$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.03 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…fd56backed Pistons | 52c | 408.94$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.29 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Timberwolves | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 63c | 340.05$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Pistons | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Timberwolves | 42c | 337.08$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Pistons | 60c | 304.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b357backed Timberwolves | 41c | 300.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Pistons | 61c | 268.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves | 40c | 267.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 58c | 259.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Pistons | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…83b5backed Pistons | 52c | 237.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd87c…42d4backed Pistons | 52c | 206.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed Timberwolves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 195.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Pistons | 52c | 188.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Pistons | 61c | 176.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 169.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pistons | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 40c | 150.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Timberwolves | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 78c | 145.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Pistons | 52c | 140.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Timberwolves | 41c | 133.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Timberwolves | 40c | 130.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Timberwolves | 40c | 129$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Timberwolves | 40c | 125.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Pistons | 51c | 125.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…c2f5backed Timberwolves | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Timberwolves | 39c | 122$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…1a04backed Timberwolves | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Timberwolves | 41c | 121.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pistons | 59c | 119$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Pistons | 61c | 111.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Pistons vs. TimberwolvesPistons won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 200.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.