NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d22e7d205589007e13137c04142e10124941cca10ff7f5495e7daabb97a4a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 43c | 1,843$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 58c | 1,729$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.31 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 1,695$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 989.82$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 32c | 948.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 44c | 803.86$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Under | 54c | 778.62$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.62 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Under | 58c | 615$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 563.13$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 57c | 524.1$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.54 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 75c | 489.59$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Over | 26c | 455.15$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…3051backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…ba7ebacked Under | 53c | 377.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 368.65$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 357.74$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 44c | 234.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Under | 61c | 200.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 43c | 163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 43c | 147.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 55c | 136.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 128$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 124.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa616…b8ffbacked Under | 58c | 123.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 55c | 116.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Over | 49c | 104.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 46c | 97.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Over | 42c | 90.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 43c | 86.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 79.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 43c | 61.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 50c | 59.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 44c | 51.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 42c | 51.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Over | 42c | 47.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 55c | 47.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 44.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 43c | 40.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Over | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a3…1794backed Under | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…ea3fbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd38…aa19backed Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…01afbacked Under | 58c | 20.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…99a0backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Pistons vs. TimberwolvesPistons won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 200.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.