NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e16605c6b2d89da9fdfd0b79ba2bebb4b87925cbaf84847705e10795113f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 33,796$16,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,293.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.96 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 49c | 16,444$8,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,342 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 51c | 14,801$7,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,548.51 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 52c | 9,651$5,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.29 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Over | 48c | 5,417$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 4,845$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 2,983$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 1,805$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.5 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,240$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.41 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Over | 50c | 1,067$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.96 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 904.03$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.97 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 833$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 48c | 726.03$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.49 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 674.89$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Over | 52c | 575.82$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 77c | 567.93$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Under | 53c | 510.39$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.9 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…c993backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 53c | 425.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 53c | 372.85$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Under | 53c | 300.49$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.49 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 210.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 197.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed Over | 52c | 197.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Under | 53c | 184.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 46c | 179.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 53c | 174.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 48c | 150.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Over | 48c | 113.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…42cebacked Under | 53c | 102.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…746bbacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 48c | 88.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 50c | 87.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Over | 52c | 76.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 53c | 74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Under | 53c | 65.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…9aa3backed Over | 51c | 44.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…b4eabacked Over | 51c | 29.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 52c | 27.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7d99backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 52c | 19.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8a76backed Under | 53c | 19.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Pistons vs. TimberwolvesPistons won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 200.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.