NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34bf7e32e58aabfdd012b6f5c225a3a8432c587a75c3248c866bf536326ee945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Timberwolves, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 53c | 28,861$15,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,645.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 41c | 24,563$10,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,135.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 9,979$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.71 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 63c | 7,738$4,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.77 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,470$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.8 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…a2cabacked Timberwolves | 44c | 3,420$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Timberwolves | 44c | 3,373$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…ee88backed Pistons | 48c | 2,900$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,813$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.87 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d7…4b13backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,801$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…1cd8backed Pistons | 47c | 2,546$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…e732backed Pistons | 47c | 2,317$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 58c | 2,301$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,248$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…defbbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,239$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…beb0backed Pistons | 47c | 2,184$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,926$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.21 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,913$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.11 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…6646backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,909$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,826$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.79 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7b…7724backed Pistons | 47c | 1,753$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 1,683$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…0cd4backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,499$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…8bfabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,460$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5bebbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,324$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8472…5d82backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,316$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,182$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.26 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,129$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,122$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0eb…7ab6backed Pistons | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Pistons | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,011$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…b671backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537c…4889backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Pistons | 57c | 903.51$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.51 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…78adbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6900…b6c2backed Pistons | 56c | 893$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 869.99$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.89 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 42c | 750.03$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.01 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Pistons | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Timberwolves | 40c | 400.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…d0acbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 58c | 354.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons | 58c | 350.87$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Pistons | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pistons | 48c | 301.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.78 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Pistons | 57c | 287.35$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.56 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Pistons | 57c | 267.9$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 49c | 266.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Timberwolves | 47c | 255$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Pistons | 50c | 224.21$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Timberwolves | 48c | 204.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Pistons | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 159.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…e174backed Pistons | 47c | 154$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Timberwolves | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Pistons | 58c | 123$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Pistons | 58c | 123$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Timberwolves | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Pistons | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Timberwolves | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…ea64backed Timberwolves | 45c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 65.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d9…c0f1backed Timberwolves | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Timberwolves | 51c | 64.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Pistons | 57c | 58.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Timberwolves | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…5c81backed Timberwolves | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Timberwolves | 49c | 53.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…d60abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…2e1abacked Pistons | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 58c | 50.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Timberwolves | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Pistons | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves | 36c | 49.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 34c | 47.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Pistons | 57c | 47.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Timberwolves | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Pistons | 48c | 46.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 45.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Timberwolves | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Pistons | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 36.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…113ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Pistons | 56c | 35.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Pistons | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Pistons | 54c | 33.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Pistons | 54c | 33.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Timberwolves | 49c | 32.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Pistons | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Pistons | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…3ef8backed Timberwolves | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Pistons | 65c | 27.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Timberwolves | 51c | 27.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Pistons vs. TimberwolvesPistons won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 200.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.