NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b1dfd9255526628267f782c52e7b590eee63edcc0e8140639d43f94f7417d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 54c | 2,708$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 2,583$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 1,354$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.03 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 1,271$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.21 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 53c | 1,226$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.51 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 1,026$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 1,019$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…99f3backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 906.95$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.07 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Over | 50c | 890$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 24c | 693.61$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 634.9$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.17 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 13c | 528.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 47c | 425.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.52 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 288$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 25c | 268.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 235.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Over | 52c | 198.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 194.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…2700backed Over | 38c | 165.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Over | 24c | 164.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 164.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 45c | 150.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 52c | 147.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 144.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Over | 24c | 138$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 124.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…a620backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x647c…a772backed Over | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 95.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 52c | 95.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…b4eabacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…1100backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed Over | 56c | 71.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 27c | 59.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 57.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 55.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 45c | 53.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…3970backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…ed41backed Over | 48c | 44.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Over | 35c | 40.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c4…d765backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…dd5abacked Over | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 49c | 23.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…f3babacked Over | 53c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Pistons vs. TimberwolvesPistons won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 200.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.