TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,815 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e85…788bbacked Yes25c1,924$484 inLost-$483.9315651.9%81 W · 75 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes42c1,419$595 inLost-$594.5636954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No67c723.35$482 inWon+$241.4739265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14b9…b69fbacked Yes36c616.43$222 inLost-$2221233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6976…3752backed Yes37c455.26$170 inLost-$170650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No63c300$189 inWon+$11190863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No66c261.16$171 inWon+$89.924,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ec7bbacked Yes32c221.88$71 inLost-$711637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed No67c200$134 inWon+$664445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed No67c200$134 inWon+$6617748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed No67c200$134 inWon+$667441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe86d…ada3backed No69c197.08$136 inWon+$61.0915362.1%95 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked No62c161.71$101 inWon+$619975.8%75 W · 24 L+16.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked No69c134$92 inWon+$42.0611538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed No69c134$92 inWon+$42.064146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No68c118.72$81 inWon+$37.927074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No38c56.65$22 inWon+$35.1279650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No67c51.71$35 inWon+$17.061,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed No67c43$29 inWon+$14.3123441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed No67c40$27 inWon+$13.214449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x376d…bc1bbacked No68c29.41$20 inWon+$9.419869.4%68 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0278…5f1fbacked No73c26.1$19 inWon+$6.977240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed No69c21$14 inWon+$6.6124936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.