Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x652a7e27819c8aa682f1013295dd637c000133862850d96143e48a1815b94d38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,543,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,931,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,543,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe22a…2703backed Yes | 50c | 1,196,078$600,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596,078.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 1,074,066$359,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359,054.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Yes | 76c | 829,011$626,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,502.15 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 30c | 473,610$139,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,829.26 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 32c | 467,997$149,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,685.57 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e013backed Yes | 68c | 434,446$295,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,022.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 395,601$271,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,574.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 33c | 361,230$120,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,172.76 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 69c | 327,539$226,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,537.21 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked No | 31c | 299,999$93,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,999.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 31c | 200,000$62,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,999.93 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 32c | 174,658$55,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,890.66 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 67c | 167,977$113,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,950.02 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 32c | 150,517$47,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,660.27 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 69c | 150,000$103,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,500 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…fefabacked Yes | 66c | 150,000$99,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 31c | 149,998$47,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,249.39 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 28c | 141,333$40,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,189.97 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 44c | 131,135$57,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,924.08 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 35c | 128,678$44,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,934.11 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Yes | 68c | 117,647$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,647.06 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 66c | 115,736$76,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,122.23 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 65c | 104,381$68,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,265.94 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Yes | 52c | 101,261$52,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,974.08 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes | 50c | 89,507$44,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,753.51 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 28c | 85,789$23,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,919.72 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 27c | 83,252$22,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,210.64 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 80,226$26,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,978.14 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…5f61backed Yes | 67c | 74,954$49,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,979.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 16c | 74,331$11,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,766.15 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed No | 32c | 74,022$23,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,687.02 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Yes | 65c | 71,542$46,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,739.82 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 35c | 70,733$24,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,716.62 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked No | 32c | 60,006$19,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,201.77 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 66c | 60,000$39,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,700 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 68c | 60,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 36c | 60,000$21,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,899.92 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 35c | 58,509$20,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,411.77 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 48c | 57,014$27,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,131.92 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes | 72c | 56,897$40,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,007.72 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 30c | 56,471$16,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,997.32 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 26c | 54,783$14,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,494.95 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 31c | 53,217$16,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,497.39 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked No | 32c | 50,100$16,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,031.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 68c | 49,229$33,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,753.41 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed Yes | 68c | 49,000$33,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,680 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 27c | 47,891$12,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,694.58 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 32c | 47,000$15,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,039.92 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 9c | 44,038$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.51 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 21c | 42,028$8,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,637.64 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 22c | 40,730$9,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,116.19 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 31c | 40,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…4affbacked No | 32c | 40,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed Yes | 77c | 40,000$30,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 47c | 36,885$17,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,340.47 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Yes | 68c | 36,650$24,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,727.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 64c | 36,101$23,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,996.46 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 52c | 34,126$17,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,268.66 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…eb2ebacked No | 27c | 34,000$9,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,175.12 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 33c | 33,766$11,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,142.84 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa078…419abacked Yes | 68c | 32,960$22,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,547.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 32,737$8,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,718.64 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…0741backed Yes | 68c | 32,258$21,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,322.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 69c | 31,784$21,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,008.77 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 65c | 30,353$19,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,531.27 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 18c | 29,980$5,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,455.06 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 34c | 29,377$9,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,988.17 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 32c | 28,870$9,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,238.32 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…ddd2backed Yes | 68c | 28,814$19,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,220.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes | 71c | 28,477$20,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,233.47 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed No | 36c | 26,706$9,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,614.24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -86%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 65c | 25,000$16,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,849.99 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 36c | 24,265$8,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,809.45 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 60c | 23,734$14,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,436.72 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 66c | 23,556$15,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,015.92 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e17…d3d8backed Yes | 64c | 23,438$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,437.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 25c | 23,363$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940.36 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 33c | 23,029$7,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,579.73 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…131dbacked Yes | 67c | 22,184$14,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,321.75 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 32c | 22,136$7,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083.56 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 68c | 22,059$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,058.82 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 34c | 21,999$7,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,486.5 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…5452backed Yes | 69c | 21,882$15,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,783.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed No | 33c | 21,778$7,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083.66 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…1a33backed Yes | 66c | 21,371$14,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,266.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Yes | 68c | 20,588$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,588.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 34c | 20,569$6,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,965.56 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 23c | 20,175$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed No | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.99 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 34c | 19,999$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.83 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 33c | 19,982$6,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,505.49 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed No | 48c | 19,406$9,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,240.93 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 32c | 19,240$6,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,156.8 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…fb48backed No | 32c | 17,844$5,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,710 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 54c | 17,081$9,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,816.4 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 33c | 17,020$5,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,616.55 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?this page
- Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?No won
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.