TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,799,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,705,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,799,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,009 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No77c142,955$110,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,245.782,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes19c112,256$21,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,466.6542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes14c102,263$14,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,573.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde29…89b1backed Yes22c100,000$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.91915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No78c75,424$59,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,31529952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes23c36,255$8,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,291.2732031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c33,488$7,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,782.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No78c30,811$24,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,638.342,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes24c27,956$6,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,709.5119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-86%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa79e…1fb0backed No78c27,645$21,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,081.871877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes21c26,190$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…8daebacked No79c25,220$19,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,392.451770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes19c25,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,65024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No79c25,000$19,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.9110056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes21c24,669$5,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,230.1318047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacce…c07cbacked Yes21c23,000$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,83020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes20c22,181$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,545.8411421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes14c20,753$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,84136939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes21c20,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2006749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked No79c19,998$15,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.5713959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes31c18,564$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,75027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked No79c17,399$13,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,710.0414542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes20c17,000$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,47010548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1121…4931backed No78c16,050$12,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5315250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No66c15,695$10,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,282.1156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No72c15,262$11,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,217.991,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes20c15,143$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,03010045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes9c15,040$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f3…f18ebacked No78c15,032$11,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.041566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No70c14,902$10,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,517.392,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No66c12,400$8,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2169948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1518…2652backed No80c12,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Yes14c11,825$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7006154.1%33 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes14c11,638$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.8815127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No67c11,587$7,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.821,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes10c10,268$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.4598134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10019332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1007020%14 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes10c9,971$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.081,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x703b…1956backed Yes9c9,856$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.382623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes21c9,524$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…a91ebacked No78c8,974$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1592…060cbacked Yes21c8,467$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.451631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…1660backed No78c8,342$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.66560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes20c8,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62027239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf21a…089cbacked Yes25c7,373$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.942839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No78c7,000$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.974075%30 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No79c6,968$5,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.285851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No67c6,838$4,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.5449441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes23c6,787$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.428025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked No78c6,740$5,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.6313857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes30c6,592$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa608…1b35backed Yes14c6,538$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No76c6,300$4,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51211642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed Yes21c6,262$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3151631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb3e…7286backed Yes10c5,205$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.845530.9%17 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No79c5,020$3,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.1333549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes20c5,001$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.288838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c7c…0ec9backed Yes11c5,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb94…494fbacked Yes21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes13c4,778$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.1315040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes21c4,676$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.0979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes23c4,417$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes10c4,355$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.3273626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes23c4,354$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.938133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No79c4,003$3,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.6831945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b58…eba2backed Yes22c3,914$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8619934.3%34 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7a…29f6backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004035%14 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c3,723$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.793542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88fc…eda8backed Yes33c3,626$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2007140.8%29 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ae…faeabacked No79c3,611$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.291258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc30…ad13backed Yes37c3,537$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.566053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes25c3,479$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.7236634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes10c3,356$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.5370750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c1…d6cdbacked Yes26c3,267$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.1619432.5%63 W · 131 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24f4…ad4ebacked Yes21c3,264$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb59…d1a7backed Yes18c3,221$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.2512238.5%47 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No78c3,167$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.6710863%68 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…4bc8backed No80c3,131$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.264740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes21c3,112$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.7158029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Yes35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0503324.2%8 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No79c2,996$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.78943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a16…33dbbacked Yes34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…3f1cbacked Yes21c2,830$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.924939%97 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…aacabacked Yes28c2,747$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.131163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Yes26c2,650$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70024046.3%111 W · 129 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes21c2,619$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5507229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…cb34backed Yes24c2,603$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6307740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Yes10c2,570$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25716336.2%59 W · 104 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes10c2,570$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25746230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Yes23c2,558$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004027.5%11 W · 29 L-7.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes12c2,538$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.52,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked No78c2,471$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.539139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No80c2,445$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48911963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No80c2,380$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.917745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91f…59ddbacked No78c2,350$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5171741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes22c2,313$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8765835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.