NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x522402b339695a5c11d6faac2723822ef40f513569c54e8df12e043d78f687c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Avalanche, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,180,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,179,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,180,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Golden Knights | 70c | 1,126,338$792,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333,862.59 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Golden Knights | 49c | 499,999$243,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256,999.48 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Avalanche | 51c | 478,975$244,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244,277.07 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Avalanche | 29c | 413,834$120,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,011.76 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Avalanche | 52c | 200,000$104,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,999.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 30c | 185,730$55,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,145.37 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Avalanche | 30c | 136,039$40,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,811.73 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Golden Knights | 49c | 124,000$60,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,240 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Avalanche | 52c | 96,154$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Avalanche | 35c | 92,315$32,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,652.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Avalanche | 50c | 73,084$36,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,541.95 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Avalanche | 51c | 68,912$35,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,145.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Avalanche | 52c | 67,308$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Golden Knights | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 48c | 48,979$23,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,508.76 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Avalanche | 35c | 44,569$15,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,485.45 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Golden Knights | 55c | 42,494$23,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,959.64 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Avalanche | 25c | 33,846$8,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,562.05 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Avalanche | 28c | 30,665$8,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,484.08 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Avalanche | 46c | 30,312$13,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,857.02 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Avalanche | 31c | 27,080$8,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,394.89 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Golden Knights | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.82 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Golden Knights | 74c | 24,324$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,324.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Golden Knights | 50c | 24,045$12,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,022.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Golden Knights | 62c | 20,323$12,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,739.33 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Avalanche | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.92 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Avalanche | 52c | 19,233$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Avalanche | 30c | 18,570$5,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570.86 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche | 52c | 16,771$8,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,720.92 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Avalanche | 30c | 16,005$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880.1 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche | 12c | 15,108$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.52 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Avalanche | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Avalanche | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche | 23c | 14,604$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.04 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Golden Knights | 48c | 14,560$6,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,571.2 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 12,723$6,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,361.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…c769backed Avalanche | 35c | 11,446$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,022.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…89cebacked Avalanche | 2c | 10,526$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Golden Knights | 50c | 10,154$5,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,077 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Avalanche | 50c | 9,810$4,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.09 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Avalanche | 51c | 9,533$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.04 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights | 48c | 8,750$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 8,662$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.2 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Golden Knights | 48c | 7,677$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.39 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Golden Knights | 68c | 7,581$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Golden Knights | 48c | 7,402$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.28 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Avalanche | 1c | 7,373$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Avalanche | 51c | 7,000$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.98 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche | 51c | 6,500$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…72dbbacked Avalanche | 32c | 6,155$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Avalanche | 51c | 6,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Avalanche | 51c | 6,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Avalanche | 51c | 5,874$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Avalanche | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Avalanche | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Golden Knights | 69c | 5,690$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Avalanche | 53c | 5,684$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.68 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…ceb7backed Avalanche | 31c | 5,649$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche | 52c | 5,604$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.61 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…64c8backed Avalanche | 51c | 5,483$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1183…a6cbbacked Avalanche | 52c | 5,449$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche | 39c | 5,194$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.77 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 47c | 5,024$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.97 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Avalanche | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche | 51c | 5,000$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Golden Knights | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 4,867$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.34 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Avalanche | 51c | 4,836$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 75c | 4,787$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.21 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…7784backed Golden Knights | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 52c | 4,444$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.95 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Golden Knights | 78c | 4,131$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Golden Knights | 73c | 3,802$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.55 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Avalanche | 51c | 3,725$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Golden Knights | 51c | 3,656$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.92 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Avalanche | 52c | 3,361$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.12 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche | 51c | 3,147$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Avalanche | 51c | 3,054$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.49 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Avalanche | 50c | 3,018$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.23 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Golden Knights | 75c | 3,010$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.03 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Avalanche | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Avalanche | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.95 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Avalanche | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.91 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…d0f0backed Avalanche | 30c | 2,926$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.88 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92f…f930backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,842$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,785$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Golden Knights | 49c | 2,636$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.5 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche | 51c | 2,481$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.78 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Avalanche | 52c | 2,424$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.48 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Avalanche | 50c | 2,400$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Avalanche | 51c | 2,381$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Avalanche | 30c | 2,360$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Avalanche | 50c | 2,310$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.95 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Avalanche | 48c | 2,305$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8901backed Golden Knights | 50c | 2,264$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Golden Knights | 49c | 2,184$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.66 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.