TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Houston Astros, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$334,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,517 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8660…93edbacked Houston Astros49c65,854$32,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,268.55650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros49c62,997$30,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,845.3477053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers51c51,664$26,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,315.284,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Detroit Tigers51c48,291$24,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,654.3760043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Detroit Tigers58c31,158$18,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,018.8779442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros49c20,014$9,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,806.7844851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros50c15,554$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers56c9,637$5,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.842,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers50c9,545$4,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,772.5810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros42c8,008$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.674,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Detroit Tigers51c7,813$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,828.1433554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros22c7,796$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.438,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros0c6,533$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.98762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Houston Astros1c6,362$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6213649.3%67 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Detroit Tigers51c6,304$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.734531.1%14 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers52c6,034$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.6111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers52c5,811$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.82,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros31c5,448$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.1895045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers50c4,783$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.53,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Houston Astros50c3,952$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97619951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcd…c367backed Houston Astros49c3,946$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.591735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Houston Astros53c3,687$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.09850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Houston Astros1c3,409$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros49c3,374$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.036,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros50c2,539$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.2689153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe112…ae59backed Houston Astros1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers58c2,377$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.824,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers51c2,363$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.931,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Detroit Tigers54c2,270$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.521,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Detroit Tigers47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.666152.5%32 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Houston Astros50c2,065$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.6427552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Houston Astros49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9712255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Detroit Tigers51c1,951$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.0948147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers52c1,536$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.015,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed Houston Astros1c1,507$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54681.5%1 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-81.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Detroit Tigers51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.551844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Houston Astros49c1,333$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65015447.4%73 W · 81 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Detroit Tigers51c1,275$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.517642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros39c1,185$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.998,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Detroit Tigers65c1,164$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.1118151.9%94 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Detroit Tigers51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.317356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros47c764.93$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers58c762.08$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.881,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Detroit Tigers78c720$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8230140.5%122 W · 179 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Houston Astros49c657.8$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2251545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Houston Astros5c638.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.493929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Houston Astros21c601.08$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2851849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Detroit Tigers51c582.12$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.2414841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros50c546.4$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8257548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Houston Astros38c544.51$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.136759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a6a…e09bbacked Houston Astros50c530.48$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.241172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+48.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Houston Astros47c505.58$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6221242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros47c505.41$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.541,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Houston Astros50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22572648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers78c431$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.994,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Houston Astros30c420.53$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.461,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Houston Astros48c417$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.161,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Houston Astros48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Detroit Tigers71c401.07$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6525950.2%130 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Houston Astros10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027231.3%85 W · 187 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Houston Astros50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros47c399.98$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.991,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Detroit Tigers51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57fe…13c1backed Houston Astros46c391.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806131.1%19 W · 42 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd6e…4555backed Detroit Tigers51c362$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3814046.4%65 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Houston Astros46c358.33$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8324346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros46c351.28$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.591,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ced…8622backed Houston Astros48c320$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Houston Astros48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Detroit Tigers51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1475552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Houston Astros50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1405…9882backed Houston Astros50c282.49$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.778547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f9…c755backed Houston Astros50c282.24$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.122360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e2…33e5backed Detroit Tigers53c280$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…30babacked Detroit Tigers53c260$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Houston Astros49c256.04$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3127454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers51c250$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.752,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5b…d599backed Houston Astros48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Detroit Tigers52c240.19$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.291,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Detroit Tigers52c239.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2337944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Houston Astros49c237.44$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7626444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Detroit Tigers51c225.49$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4918649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70cd…46d4backed Houston Astros48c220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Detroit Tigers69c219$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.312954.3%70 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Detroit Tigers50c216.18$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2526049.6%129 W · 131 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Detroit Tigers52c216.01$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.32,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a17…5f06backed Houston Astros46c215.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Houston Astros47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007553.3%40 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers52c211.32$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.663,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.71,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Houston Astros49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019540%78 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Detroit Tigers67c204$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5640146.1%185 W · 216 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed Detroit Tigers52c203$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.443253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros20c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.695,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Houston Astros49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9854945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Houston Astros50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Detroit Tigers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0818860.1%113 W · 75 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed Houston Astros50c191.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1424547.3%116 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.