MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a2bb287be1ce21b88873a69655562c117f4abef9de2ee487a9a3c5b99df26b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 56c | 45,155$25,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,159.24 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 45c | 44,444$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,444.16 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 53c | 22,581$11,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,942.05 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 11,143$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,135.76 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…cc23backed Over | 55c | 11,090$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 11,044$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,116.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 7,136$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 6,302$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,512.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 47c | 5,225$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.19 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 44c | 5,175$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.2 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 64c | 2,957$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.67 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 46c | 2,823$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.33 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 2,692$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Over | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 2,446$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.77 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Over | 48c | 2,154$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 2,019$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.57 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 45c | 1,910$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.72 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Under | 52c | 1,156$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 37c | 1,111$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.36 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.92 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 52c | 968.62$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.12 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 22c | 952.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.13 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 68c | 787.64$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.88 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 662.63$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 641.29$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 602.18$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.07 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 558$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.74 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 496.15$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.18 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 49c | 459.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 53c | 396.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 378.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 54c | 368.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 358.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 53c | 351.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.19 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 47c | 320.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Under | 44c | 317.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed Under | 51c | 289.61$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 54c | 279.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 45c | 278.71$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 55c | 264$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 42c | 254.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 251.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.51 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Over | 55c | 229.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 54c | 217.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 214.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 45c | 180$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 179$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 57c | 176.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 47c | 120$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 57c | 118$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 44c | 115.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 108.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 38c | 97.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 54c | 96.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 82.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Under | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 54c | 76.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 56c | 71.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 56c | 62.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 46c | 61.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 46c | 60.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 63c | 59.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 53c | 59.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecf…c7b8backed Over | 55c | 57.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 72c | 50.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 46c | 50.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 45c | 45.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 40c | 44.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…87a6backed Under | 46c | 41.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 25c | 40.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.