TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Wild, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,106,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,147,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,106,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 843 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche66c77,558$51,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,467.0240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Avalanche66c75,484$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,484.492240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Avalanche61c58,000$35,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,580.291947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Wild72c53,066$38,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,421.3710545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Wild33c52,291$17,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,256.1416442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Wild36c45,301$16,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,317.8828749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Wild34c39,999$13,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,399.831338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Avalanche68c35,000$23,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,312.483450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Wild32c22,105$7,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,073.5248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wild47c21,751$10,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,279.4189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Wild59c18,269$10,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,757.142433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Wild38c17,523$6,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,594.9812950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Avalanche61c15,806$9,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,156.2312146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche40c14,000$5,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,330.963164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3082…9b55backed Avalanche60c11,685$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,684.943132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Wild34c11,110$3,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.452172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche61c11,075$6,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,363.491,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Wild34c10,341$3,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.332236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Wild57c9,000$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,119.9810743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche66c8,866$5,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.664555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Avalanche66c8,626$5,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,932.8767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Wild59c8,413$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9818853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f5…e1e7backed Avalanche67c8,209$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wild66c8,096$5,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,330.291,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Wild34c7,683$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche47c7,008$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,733.181,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Wild34c7,000$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3802441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wild68c6,940$4,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,686.8689355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wild33c6,800$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.0960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Avalanche45c6,695$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,660.9318452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf03…5b17backed Wild0c6,694$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Avalanche79c6,286$4,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.4261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Avalanche61c6,142$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.0817353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Wild34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9885…b943backed Avalanche67c5,928$3,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…e110backed Wild34c5,799$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.661942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Wild33c5,666$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.7533151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche67c5,299$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.5561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Avalanche58c5,131$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.4912328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Wild66c5,039$3,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,321.6733234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Wild34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Wild40c4,888$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9708345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Wild34c4,680$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.23141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Avalanche19c4,662$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,776.613228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Wild35c4,575$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.3627044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Avalanche50c4,362$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.2714254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche66c4,014$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.851,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Avalanche66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Wild34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3601442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Avalanche47c3,780$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.254355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Avalanche43c3,775$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.149157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6611…863ebacked Wild34c3,747$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wild75c3,627$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.1199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Avalanche55c3,478$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.231741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb05d…a000backed Wild34c3,372$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Avalanche67c3,316$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.425662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Avalanche25c3,239$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.3512654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Avalanche33c3,111$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.011,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Wild1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Wild34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Wild34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-46.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wild33c2,755$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Avalanche18c2,729$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.372352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Avalanche67c2,582$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8527755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Avalanche59c2,532$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.324568.9%31 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild52c2,400$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.813,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild34c2,370$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.681,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Avalanche31c2,325$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.2814946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Avalanche54c2,318$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.343148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Avalanche19c2,313$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.8213850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4743…fd53backed Wild34c2,305$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.750%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Wild33c2,305$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.6211952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avalanche37c2,275$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.681,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa3…448dbacked Wild34c2,237$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Wild41c2,200$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.326154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa5…7059backed Avalanche23c2,018$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.572176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Avalanche66c2,002$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.684060%24 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Avalanche58c2,000$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.2256649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Avalanche33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Avalanche59c1,850$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.542751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wild33c1,795$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.4713333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x37af…4b38backed Avalanche38c1,680$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Wild33c1,667$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+73.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa316…3656backed Wild68c1,665$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Wild31c1,631$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.1722250%111 W · 111 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e1c…d8acbacked Wild50c1,598$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Avalanche59c1,589$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.5725449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Wild33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Avalanche42c1,444$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.838056.3%45 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Avalanche22c1,433$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.0635551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Avalanche25c1,253$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.515534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Avalanche66c1,226$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.945955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Avalanche58c1,154$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.845644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Avalanche57c1,150$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.7530946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Wild33c1,150$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.51650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild46c1,149$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.631,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0de…1543backed Avalanche67c1,135$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Avalanche57c1,132$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.661662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Wild33c1,131$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.3124349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.