NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd1432dbf466aa293130b9e8720cf6769f5d284663880e0a85007c0a5250544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Avalanche, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Wild | 55c | 37,556$20,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,934.68 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Avalanche | 45c | 23,611$10,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,625.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 46c | 18,583$8,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,496.11 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Avalanche | 45c | 13,500$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Wild | 55c | 12,832$7,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,774.31 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Avalanche | 45c | 7,596$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.99 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Wild | 55c | 5,068$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Wild | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 56c | 3,600$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Avalanche | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche | 45c | 2,621$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.16 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wild | 54c | 2,556$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.55 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Wild | 55c | 2,527$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.27 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 56c | 2,087$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.26 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Avalanche | 44c | 2,027$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.05 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild | 54c | 1,997$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.68 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Wild | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Avalanche | 45c | 1,262$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.6 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…5f84backed Wild | 55c | 1,209$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…0ef2backed Avalanche | 45c | 1,183$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Wild | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Wild | 55c | 1,041$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.75 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Wild | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…13c3backed Avalanche | 39c | 700$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Avalanche | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Wild | 76c | 658.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Wild | 54c | 640$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.83 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Wild | 55c | 603.09$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.98 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Wild | 56c | 414.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Avalanche | 24c | 412.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Avalanche | 45c | 405$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Wild | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Wild | 55c | 354.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.98 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Avalanche | 44c | 340$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Avalanche | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Avalanche | 46c | 321.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -11.5wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Avalanche | 46c | 304.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 5c | 295$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Avalanche | 46c | 261.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Wild | 54c | 258.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Avalanche | 43c | 230.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Wild | 55c | 229$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Avalanche | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Avalanche | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Avalanche | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed Avalanche | 40c | 210$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wild | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Wild | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Wild | 55c | 169.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Avalanche | 46c | 164.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Wild | 59c | 157.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wild | 55c | 154.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Avalanche | 44c | 154$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Avalanche | 20c | 146.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Avalanche | 10c | 138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Avalanche | 15c | 137.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Wild | 56c | 126.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Avalanche | 8c | 120.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Wild | 67c | 118.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Avalanche | 12c | 111.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Avalanche | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Avalanche | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Wild | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Avalanche | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed Wild | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Wild | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 236 | 65.7%155 W · 81 L | +15.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Wild | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…f63dbacked Avalanche | 45c | 99.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Avalanche | 43c | 91.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche | 42c | 91.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Wild | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Avalanche | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…88e8backed Wild | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Avalanche | 19c | 80.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Wild | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553c…eaf8backed Avalanche | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d5…138ebacked Avalanche | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Wild | 58c | 60.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Avalanche | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Wild | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Wild | 55c | 56.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 79c | 56.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Wild | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Avalanche | 44c | 55.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Wild | 55c | 54.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Wild | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Wild | 55c | 50.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Avalanche | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Avalanche | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Avalanche | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Wild | 54c | 39.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d2…d883backed Wild | 55c | 38.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wild | 55c | 37.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Wild | 55c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Avalanche | 44c | 34.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c3…0701backed Avalanche | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Wild | 55c | 31.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…850abacked Avalanche | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Wild | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.