TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Avalanche, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Wild55c37,556$20,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,934.6810545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Avalanche45c23,611$10,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,625.111060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche46c18,583$8,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,496.1128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Avalanche45c13,500$6,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0753450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Wild55c12,832$7,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,774.316352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Avalanche45c7,596$3,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.9932151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Wild55c5,068$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.791154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Wild55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Wild56c3,600$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Avalanche45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche45c2,621$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.164555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wild54c2,556$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.5559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Wild55c2,527$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.2739649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wild56c2,087$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.261,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Avalanche44c2,027$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.053531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild54c1,997$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.6891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Wild55c1,500$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Avalanche45c1,262$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.66456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa574…5f84backed Wild55c1,209$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83bf…0ef2backed Avalanche45c1,183$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.141136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Wild55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49526154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Wild55c1,041$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.7511952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Wild55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Avalanche39c700$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2742045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Avalanche45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Wild76c658.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.031,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Wild54c640$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8333554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Wild55c603.09$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9817761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Wild56c414.48$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.39258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Avalanche24c412.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1118046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Avalanche45c405$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Wild55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.648752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Wild55c354.9$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9850251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Avalanche44c340$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.62065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Avalanche46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Avalanche46c321.2$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.757936.7%29 W · 50 L-11.5wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Avalanche46c304.93$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2712859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche5c295$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Avalanche46c261.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.217533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Wild54c258.5$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.916154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Avalanche43c230.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Wild55c229$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0520756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Avalanche45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Avalanche46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.257238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Avalanche30c220$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.315535.5%55 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f82…c446backed Avalanche40c210$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Wild54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9259950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Wild55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8222151.1%113 W · 108 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Wild55c169.2$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.141625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Avalanche46c164.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.042937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Wild59c157.03$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6945069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Wild55c154.82$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6783149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Avalanche44c154$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.39948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Avalanche20c146.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2782353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Avalanche10c138$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Avalanche15c137.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9239344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Wild56c126.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.472944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Avalanche8c120.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.124946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Wild67c118.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9919844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Avalanche12c111.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1717248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Avalanche45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018149.7%90 W · 91 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x951b…291abacked Avalanche45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506540%26 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Wild55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.09475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+69.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Avalanche46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e3…cb10backed Wild54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Wild54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4623665.7%155 W · 81 L+15.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Wild56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4414653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b6…f63dbacked Avalanche45c99.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed Avalanche43c91.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.411723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche42c91.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4932251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Wild55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Avalanche20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1860449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb79f…88e8backed Wild56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Avalanche19c80.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2649851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Wild55c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.46251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x553c…eaf8backed Avalanche45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d5…138ebacked Avalanche46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Wild58c60.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.449755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Avalanche42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Wild58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Wild55c56.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.69659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild79c56.37$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.953,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Wild54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7633745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Avalanche44c55.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3714549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked Wild55c54.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a61…4db6backed Wild56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Wild55c50.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Avalanche45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.559852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Avalanche46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Avalanche46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Wild54c39.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d2…d883backed Wild55c38.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wild55c37.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1176950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Wild55c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Avalanche44c34.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1223559.1%139 W · 96 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48c3…0701backed Avalanche46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Wild55c31.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2710148.5%49 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…850abacked Avalanche32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Wild55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.