NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeda36e47c6baef873730099b9c60c5cf0263c07596fdee7474ad7d266c71948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 68c | 7,210$4,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.19 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 6,366$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.45 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 63c | 2,018$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.34 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 1,617$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.47 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 63c | 1,338$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.78 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 37c | 948.13$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.98 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 37c | 946$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 33c | 936.58$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.07 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 38c | 852.8$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.06 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 62c | 847.98$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.23 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 27c | 843$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.58 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 60c | 813.48$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.59 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 66c | 752.46$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.48 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 15c | 601.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Over | 62c | 550$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 36c | 541.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 38c | 489.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.19 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…50dbbacked Under | 37c | 444.54$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…0ba9backed Over | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 355.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 79c | 308.07$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 27c | 292.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 79c | 288.81$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 79c | 281.92$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 67c | 277.66$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 36c | 275.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 72c | 263.46$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 259.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 61c | 237.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 209.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 23c | 199.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…b5d2backed Over | 65c | 183$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 25c | 164$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 42c | 162.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 34c | 147.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 38c | 145.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 16c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 42c | 122.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 57c | 120.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 43c | 115.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 62c | 112.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 236 | 65.7%155 W · 81 L | +15.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 62c | 98.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 43c | 96.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under | 19c | 88.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 23c | 85.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757a…1f84backed Over | 62c | 82.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 26c | 81.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…71e6backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 36c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 24c | 75.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 36c | 58.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 52c | 56.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 34c | 55.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed Over | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 30c | 42.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 38c | 41.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 62c | 41.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Under | 67c | 40.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 35.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…9047backed Over | 35c | 31.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 61c | 30.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Under | 40c | 25.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcf…d404backed Over | 61c | 22.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 54c | 21.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Under | 64c | 16.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 72c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.