TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Under52c55,669$28,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,855.931,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c7…aadebacked Over48c41,989$20,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,834.123847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Under52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1203246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…ac64backed Over48c5,003$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over48c4,215$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.159948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over48c3,656$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.1220756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c2,724$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.4176950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c2,593$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.371,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over48c2,445$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.458841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over50c2,376$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.372,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c2,072$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.92,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c1,983$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.0928749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed Over48c1,938$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.5875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+66%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over48c1,739$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.7333363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under52c1,540$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.844551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c1,518$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.8589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over48c1,389$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.9314549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c1,281$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.4813841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over48c1,222$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.199757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Under52c1,137$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.871361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over40c1,119$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.9212357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over33c1,114$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.848345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under52c1,005$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.66456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5209258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Over49c959.18$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.186953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under45c897.55$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c878.68$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.9111952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3353050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Over49c773.47$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.471145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c747.48$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.171,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Under46c745.65$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3434951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Under42c709.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over64c598.26$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.1616235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over48c580.04$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.629457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over55c538.48$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.541,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under42c405.14$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.453,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over72c369.84$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7217247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over55c359.52$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7110166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Under51c322.44$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.768336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under37c321.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7410545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Under40c311.57$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7815535.5%55 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c306.6$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4314353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over66c302$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2228652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over34c290.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.424351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c289.57$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.214254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Under52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under52c284.67$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.037936.7%29 W · 50 L-11.5wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c277.07$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8361959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Over45c270$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.53141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Under46c269.57$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Over49c261.1$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.166547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over48c239.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under64c236.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3434547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over48c230$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.64158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under53c220$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.624442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over47c215$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c212.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9350251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Under35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85a…8cd8backed Under38c199.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.997957%45 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over48c196.08$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.962751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under65c186.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7151343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c184.88$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2419844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over47c150.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5510049%49 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over62c148.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6127659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under39c148.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1824946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e1c5backed Under53c141.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7710447.1%49 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over48c139.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.493831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under34c137.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5535829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over36c127.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.466167.2%41 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under49c121.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6414347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over36c118$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.717456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over39c117.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.876056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over49c116.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick33cpaid+93.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c113.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0860449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under52c105.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7510056%56 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over34c101.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7329533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e3…cb10backed Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5159852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over48c99.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.964252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over48c99.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.964151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Over48c99.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.962157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Over37c98.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.235269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c98.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1782353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over54c92.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5526154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under59c86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4221355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over48c74.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.624459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over48c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.446656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under52c66.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.553953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under38c65.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252045%9 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7633745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.