NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83a71848558cbec98c2e9b668be8dbfe1e2502a78201eef6c0502b1a74441263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 5,008$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.64 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 52c | 2,803$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.46 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 42c | 1,387$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.86 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 71c | 1,032$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.28 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 683.74$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.88 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 543.71$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.71 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Under | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 60c | 502.44$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.1 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 63c | 318.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 271.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 263.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 232.77$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 40c | 218.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Under | 66c | 211.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 65c | 181$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 58c | 168.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 154.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 68c | 149.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…a471backed Over | 18c | 139.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 70c | 133.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 62c | 97.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 27c | 97.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 30c | 79.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Over | 15c | 71.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 28c | 68.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 79c | 63.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Over | 30c | 62.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 32c | 62.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 63c | 59.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 63c | 59.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 58c | 58.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 30c | 58.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 29c | 57.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Under | 53c | 56.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 57c | 56.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 60c | 54.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 60c | 47.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…328fbacked Over | 46c | 42.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 70c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 71c | 27.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 60c | 27.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 61c | 26.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 61c | 26.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 44c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…bfe2backed Under | 71c | 17.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 70c | 17.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Under | 64c | 16.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.