TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,866,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,141,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,866,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics71c132,199$94,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,729.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Celtics45c130,000$58,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,5005253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Celtics45c111,111$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,111.0143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Celtics52c105,870$55,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,867.0520744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Hornets55c100,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,999.9923257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Hornets55c100,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,999.968750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets56c89,286$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Hornets50c80,705$40,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,352.464742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Hornets52c80,022$41,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,628.4512639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Hornets49c73,758$36,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,502.0432540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics48c69,803$33,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,608.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics48c68,057$32,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,155.892,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Hornets45c60,733$27,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,194.4149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Hornets56c60,000$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,6005750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Celtics49c58,279$28,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,440.8911543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hornets55c52,541$28,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,897.431,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics44c41,947$18,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,347.751,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets55c38,548$21,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,119.341,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Hornets52c36,378$18,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,868.6917050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics63c35,832$22,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,246.73,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Hornets51c35,829$18,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,395.5636359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed Celtics50c34,400$17,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,2002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…5ac5backed Celtics50c30,000$15,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,849.991369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+62%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hornets4c29,735$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.4166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics49c29,337$14,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,928.674,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets53c28,644$15,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,087.4196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Hornets52c27,336$14,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,337.8561851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets52c25,734$13,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,492.511,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Hornets55c25,000$13,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,75034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets54c25,000$13,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,449.9431445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Celtics47c24,400$11,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,948.7319751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Hornets51c24,000$12,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,239.933847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e6…7ce6backed Celtics49c24,000$11,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,239.921855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hornets8c23,337$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.7883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics67c23,221$15,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,582.1927251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Hornets0c21,816$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8216919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Celtics45c21,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,60018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets53c20,994$11,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,184.62,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Hornets56c20,111$11,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,262.1916547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Hornets1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Hornets51c19,990$10,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,194.894052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets50c18,815$9,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,423.0737448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Celtics48c18,668$8,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,707.248728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics44c17,376$7,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,730.441,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Hornets7c17,300$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.958225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Hornets50c16,700$8,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3504940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets14c16,431$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Celtics47c16,156$7,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,527.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Hornets55c15,550$8,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,552.3421951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Celtics44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,400.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hornets12c15,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Celtics52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2006144.3%27 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Celtics45c15,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2509159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca87…8e3dbacked Hornets56c14,010$7,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,845.81428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets54c14,000$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Celtics50c14,000$7,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,939.9912045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Hornets23c13,276$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,09512058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets52c13,155$6,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,898.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeaa…2ddfbacked Hornets53c12,384$6,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,530.29933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Hornets55c12,274$6,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,750.8960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets49c12,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,88074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Hornets52c11,913$6,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,174.2213842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets18c11,445$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Hornets4c10,484$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.371417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Celtics50c10,220$5,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,132.0362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ce…079fbacked Celtics50c10,200$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Celtics54c10,062$5,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,584.671,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Hornets55c10,050$5,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,527.482025%5 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Hornets52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Celtics52c10,000$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,849.9720454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Celtics50c9,878$4,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.4148944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x445f…07d4backed Celtics52c9,790$5,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.22050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Hornets52c8,968$4,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,663.613360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Hornets51c8,933$4,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5566045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Hornets51c8,866$4,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,532.264647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Celtics48c8,798$4,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,574.8735547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Hornets52c8,777$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,592.8326648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fe…ce64backed Celtics51c8,440$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,177.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets18c8,434$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.32,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Hornets49c8,033$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.319655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Hornets23c7,800$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81827546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd40d…51f1backed Celtics52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+56.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hornets10c7,429$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.481,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aac…0e5cbacked Hornets55c7,427$4,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,085250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Hornets56c7,223$4,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,04510746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets54c7,107$3,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8101,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets53c6,995$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,705.231,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Hornets56c6,700$3,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7524443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Hornets51c6,541$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,352.3565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Celtics50c6,500$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2504445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Hornets52c6,148$3,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,19715141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Celtics52c6,006$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,872.7717436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…787bbacked Celtics47c6,002$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Celtics49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba69…8e9dbacked Hornets55c5,950$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,247.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets45c5,939$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.453,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Celtics54c5,907$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.2952760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Hornets53c5,883$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,11813642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.