MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4632e45fdc646883542ec8e228f5fe8ca27bbe20153f8f901616b09aa36e3139
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Houston Astros | 51c | 69,441$35,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,415 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Houston Astros | 51c | 29,412$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Athletics | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,749.99 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Athletics | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 50c | 14,579$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.72 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Athletics | 65c | 11,025$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.26 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Athletics | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Athletics | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 75c | 8,535$6,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.35 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Houston Astros | 51c | 8,458$4,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,313.44 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics | 50c | 8,062$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.03 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 49c | 6,766$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.84 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Athletics | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.91 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Houston Astros | 8c | 5,559$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.93 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 0c | 5,301$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Athletics | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Athletics | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Athletics | 49c | 4,789$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.39 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 49c | 4,645$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 50c | 4,621$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.6 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 49c | 4,034$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.84 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 65c | 3,799$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Houston Astros | 50c | 3,568$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.95 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 50c | 3,342$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.86 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 3,130$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.3 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics | 51c | 3,100$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 28c | 2,660$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.8 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Houston Astros | 51c | 2,369$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Houston Astros | 51c | 2,341$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.1 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 51c | 2,219$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.69 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Athletics | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.5 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 49c | 1,718$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 50c | 1,526$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Athletics | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.48 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Houston Astros | 18c | 1,167$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 49c | 1,132$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 4c | 1,034$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Houston Astros | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Houston Astros | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 36c | 935.9$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.37 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 34c | 915.01$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Houston Astros | 54c | 889.57$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.37 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…27a6backed Houston Astros | 2c | 861.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Athletics | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Athletics | 50c | 784.31$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Athletics | 67c | 778.2$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.21 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Houston Astros | 50c | 763.46$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.73 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Athletics | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 35c | 698.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Athletics | 76c | 668.88$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 21c | 631$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Athletics | 45c | 619.2$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.56 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Athletics | 77c | 617.53$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.44 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 613$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.63 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 51c | 485.24$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Athletics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 80c | 384.85$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Houston Astros | 6c | 363.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 32c | 340.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Houston Astros | 6c | 328.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Athletics | 69c | 326.8$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Athletics | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 290$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Houston Astros | 55c | 288$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Houston Astros | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Houston Astros | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Houston Astros | 28c | 246.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Houston Astros | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Houston Astros | 29c | 236.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Houston Astros | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Houston Astros | 35c | 233.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Houston Astros | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Houston Astros | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Houston Astros | 51c | 197.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Athletics | 48c | 196.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Houston Astros | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Athletics | 79c | 189.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Houston Astros | 9c | 166.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Houston Astros | 28c | 166.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Houston Astros | 13c | 165.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Athletics | 74c | 164.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Athletics | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Houston Astros | 50c | 158.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 41c | 156.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Houston Astros | 20c | 142.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Athletics | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Athletics | 49c | 118.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc6…a83dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 114.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…f0debacked Houston Astros | 19c | 111$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.