Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c37e07b722442c2381fac76f8564d580660aa028066e08bad1b32bd11813e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,403,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,637,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,403,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 10,114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 40c | 1,517,756$612,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612,577.92 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Yes | 59c | 1,101,681$654,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447,305.91 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…cbd0backed No | 44c | 974,687$430,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430,975.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 40c | 775,233$309,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309,618.35 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 644,221$388,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255,901.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 37c | 630,289$230,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230,504.08 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…7320backed No | 41c | 612,393$249,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249,550.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 42c | 525,731$219,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219,017.65 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 40c | 431,759$172,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,670.54 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 430,135$184,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,338.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 60c | 335,555$201,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,191.62 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Yes | 60c | 309,955$187,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,757.17 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 60c | 281,011$167,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,106.8 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 59c | 274,745$162,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,645.58 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 28c | 272,451$75,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,832.88 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 61c | 270,497$165,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,493.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed Yes | 60c | 249,999$149,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,999.59 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes | 61c | 249,811$151,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,675.19 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed No | 41c | 242,540$100,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,032.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 55c | 218,211$120,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,649.43 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed No | 39c | 200,000$78,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,250 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Yes | 60c | 177,777$105,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,999.69 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 40c | 169,783$68,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,521.3 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Yes | 61c | 160,121$97,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,647.26 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 40c | 134,641$54,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,226.74 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Yes | 60c | 133,376$79,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,714.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed No | 40c | 132,500$53,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,356.01 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 60c | 130,000$78,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,999.97 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…c67fbacked Yes | 55c | 127,892$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,892.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 54c | 127,254$68,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,453.44 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Yes | 59c | 127,119$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,118.64 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 126,026$76,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,420.91 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 28c | 124,711$35,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,369.54 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked No | 39c | 119,998$46,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,799.06 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 60c | 119,470$71,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,618.33 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a18…f4a9backed Yes | 60c | 118,795$70,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,094.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 60c | 118,209$70,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,871.63 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 62c | 111,061$68,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,467.4 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 103,693$41,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,232.05 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 58c | 103,162$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,162.5 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Yes | 59c | 100,000$58,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,250.17 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 60c | 100,000$59,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,500 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 39c | 93,343$36,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,541.41 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Yes | 69c | 91,275$62,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,673.2 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 64c | 89,484$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,484.15 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…8a06backed Yes | 59c | 86,237$51,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,141.58 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 30c | 83,939$25,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,358.48 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 59c | 83,641$49,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,288.56 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 60c | 83,287$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,286.63 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 42c | 81,596$34,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,009.07 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 77c | 81,509$62,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,662 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 40c | 81,358$32,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,497.07 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 60c | 77,564$46,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,950.77 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…56e9backed Yes | 61c | 75,793$46,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,559.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…232fbacked No | 39c | 75,070$29,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,562.96 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked No | 39c | 70,000$27,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,649.85 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…d7b3backed No | 40c | 67,157$27,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,030.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…f48fbacked Yes | 59c | 65,904$39,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,691.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 62c | 64,003$39,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,461.78 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 61c | 63,624$38,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,071.36 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 40c | 62,747$24,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,968.89 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 36c | 62,509$22,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,534.53 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…0a1ebacked Yes | 60c | 61,930$36,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,081.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 44c | 61,900$27,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,355.04 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 49c | 61,721$30,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,541.47 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…e87cbacked Yes | 60c | 57,557$34,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,046.84 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 33c | 54,861$18,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,204.94 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 53,343$21,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,073.84 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Yes | 60c | 52,705$31,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,082 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked No | 40c | 52,348$21,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,183.12 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 40c | 51,149$20,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,459.8 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Yes | 60c | 50,170$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,170.11 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Yes | 60c | 50,028$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,028.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked No | 39c | 49,932$19,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,598.43 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 46,979$18,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,726.79 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 39c | 45,049$17,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,569.87 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 18c | 44,886$8,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,168.86 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 39c | 44,097$17,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,357.07 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 40c | 43,915$17,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,590.7 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…53c8backed Yes | 58c | 42,840$25,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,791.38 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 42,832$17,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,116.3 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…2d02backed Yes | 60c | 41,667$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,666.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 60c | 41,314$24,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,613.67 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af7…4c89backed Yes | 60c | 41,097$24,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,541.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed No | 40c | 40,000$15,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,949.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa551…e050backed Yes | 55c | 39,277$21,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,674.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes | 59c | 39,153$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,153.49 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…401fbacked Yes | 45c | 38,731$17,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,317.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 60c | 38,347$22,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,522.28 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 60c | 37,638$22,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,234.79 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Yes | 59c | 37,207$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,207.04 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…3f1cbacked Yes | 60c | 36,775$21,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,776.49 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed No | 56c | 36,324$20,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,270.42 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75f…412bbacked No | 40c | 36,302$14,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,458.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…7842backed No | 41c | 35,330$14,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,485.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 35,082$14,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,033.87 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 40c | 34,912$13,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,879.83 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed No | 39c | 33,998$13,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,314.67 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 41c | 33,626$13,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,654.38 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 40c | 33,545$13,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,320.36 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?this page
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?No won
- Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.