Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36fca44fa14ee80f732b8c07f060f5f7f0eda41a01626409d178166156b4d6d1

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,081,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,858,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,081,163 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09b4…7320backed Yes	17c	3,518,888$595,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595,712.95	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d8…7e2ebacked Yes	16c	566,066$90,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90,460.51	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	33cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes	16c	357,557$58,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,466.03	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	12c	190,675$23,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,472.1	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a49…7d21backed Yes	0c	134,481$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.2	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+111.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes	14c	126,962$18,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,139.97	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes	16c	121,840$19,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,189.86	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf020…3212backed Yes	14c	116,296$15,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,970.42	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…6486backed Yes	17c	106,413$18,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,090.26	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Yes	16c	103,300$16,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,527.99	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…73c3backed Yes	16c	100,000$15,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,750	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes	17c	100,000$17,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,250	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Yes	16c	100,000$16,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,999.94	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes	17c	85,282$14,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,188.04	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f3f…8517backed Yes	17c	79,962$13,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,593.62	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes	15c	64,170$9,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,465.06	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	14c	63,824$9,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,010.06	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f6…aba9backed Yes	16c	54,695$8,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,888	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes	16c	53,025$8,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,542.52	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes	17c	50,000$8,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,499.99	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	16c	47,670$7,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,755.47	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes	11c	46,324$4,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,919.45	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	13c	45,830$6,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,072.28	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked Yes	14c	45,495$6,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,369.35	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Yes	0c	41,400$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-61%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f38…5f7cbacked Yes	0c	40,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.33per pick	42cpaid	+59.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes	0c	40,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	174	16.1%28 W · 146 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	16c	36,695$5,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,871.16	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes	12c	31,546$3,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,912.72	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Yes	10c	30,956$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes	16c	28,500$4,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,631.25	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Yes	17c	27,962$4,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,723.13	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	14c	25,737$3,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,606.3	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	9c	25,000$2,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,237.49	245	26.5%65 W · 180 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	14c	24,287$3,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,392.44	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba2…53ddbacked Yes	17c	23,881$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…867ebacked Yes	17c	23,188$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes	0c	22,659$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.94	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	+90.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes	14c	22,482$3,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,147.79	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1f4…d013backed Yes	0c	20,284$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.71	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2505…c668backed Yes	0c	19,400$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.75	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	10c	19,154$1,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,931.46	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes	17c	17,500$2,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,922.54	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes	11c	16,010$1,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720.84	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes	16c	15,826$2,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,562	208	16.3%34 W · 174 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde3…534dbacked Yes	16c	15,531$2,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,407.25	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc571…ad5fbacked Yes	1c	15,520$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes	16c	15,000$2,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,443.75	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…866dbacked Yes	11c	15,000$1,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,684.34	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc13c…a202backed Yes	13c	14,963$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes	8c	14,526$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.08	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	16c	14,516$2,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,322.61	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33e9…6c3dbacked Yes	1c	13,746$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.33	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	4cpaid	+144.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3cb…2526backed Yes	15c	13,559$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fce…e044backed Yes	3c	13,542$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-77.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Yes	17c	12,400$2,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,061.5	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes	16c	12,000$1,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,965	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes	17c	11,594$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes	17c	11,024$1,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,901.56	110	25.5%28 W · 82 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bec…d26abacked Yes	17c	10,860$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	125	33.6%42 W · 83 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49d3…b619backed Yes	9c	10,681$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.6	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Yes	16c	10,669$1,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,733.7	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4847…a7a2backed Yes	1c	10,106$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.2	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc208…230dbacked Yes	16c	10,090$1,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,614.45	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be5…8d11backed Yes	16c	10,000$1,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,625	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes	14c	9,947$1,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,392.52	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	16c	9,749$1,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,592.98	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aed…19ccbacked Yes	16c	9,559$1,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,576.27	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb33…bc38backed Yes	15c	9,510$1,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,426.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Yes	16c	9,502$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,544	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes	1c	9,480$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.33	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes	16c	9,324$1,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,491.85	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb2…015abacked Yes	16c	9,231$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes	16c	9,000$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,464.54	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe508…a24cbacked Yes	10c	8,930$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	8,800$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.62	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed Yes	17c	8,696$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes	17c	8,224$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb58b…a4e9backed Yes	16c	8,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db3…c579backed Yes	0c	8,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	121	37.2%45 W · 76 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes	0c	7,668$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.12	455	28.4%129 W · 326 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7e…460ebacked Yes	13c	7,407$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes	16c	7,328$1,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.6	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8452…cc80backed Yes	14c	7,316$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-51%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69b2…30c5backed Yes	17c	7,178$1,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.53	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes	14c	7,097$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.85	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	5c	6,786$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.76	202	34.2%69 W · 133 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Yes	17c	6,403$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.5	318	42.5%135 W · 183 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes	4c	6,367$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.66	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+122.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe440…a7a2backed Yes	15c	6,332$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.57	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes	0c	6,320$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	36	0%0 W · 36 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes	2c	6,257$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.03	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f0…416cbacked Yes	16c	6,061$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…3682backed Yes	11c	6,049$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.5	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf4…2365backed Yes	16c	6,026$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.29	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	17cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3e…5725backed Yes	17c	5,970$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12c1…8d4fbacked Yes	2c	5,917$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	14c	5,900$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.48	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7411…086abacked Yes	17c	5,882$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe171…ab39backed Yes	16c	5,848$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.37	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?this page
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?No won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event