UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bcee9324557b035ea5795bd289a192360d8ac9e6e596c1651e68171f2aac42d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pereiraof Pereira, Reese
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $906,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,023,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $906,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 462 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Pereira | 60c | 194,591$116,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,532.49 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Reese | 39c | 109,905$42,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,862.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pereira | 61c | 91,485$55,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,750.65 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pereira | 61c | 80,000$48,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,249.44 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Reese | 40c | 72,240$28,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,896 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Pereira | 58c | 43,010$25,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,894.64 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Reese | 41c | 41,768$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pereira | 61c | 35,963$21,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,025.5 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Reese | 40c | 35,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Reese | 41c | 35,000$14,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,350 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Reese | 39c | 33,866$13,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,207.82 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Reese | 38c | 23,331$8,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,865.71 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Reese | 40c | 23,280$9,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,312 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Pereira | 61c | 22,717$13,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,893.65 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Reese | 39c | 21,476$8,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,270.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Reese | 40c | 20,160$8,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,063.98 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Reese | 46c | 14,997$6,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,884.12 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Reese | 50c | 14,499$7,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,241.33 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Reese | 39c | 14,490$5,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655.67 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Reese | 40c | 12,687$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.83 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Reese | 39c | 12,588$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,909.37 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Reese | 39c | 12,541$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.56 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…0282backed Reese | 0c | 12,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pereira | 61c | 12,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.94 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Reese | 39c | 11,000$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Reese | 39c | 8,993$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.21 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Reese | 39c | 8,658$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890b…97bebacked Reese | 39c | 8,000$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pereira | 52c | 7,722$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.75 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…f07bbacked Pereira | 56c | 7,381$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pereira | 60c | 6,953$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.15 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Reese | 39c | 6,410$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Reese | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pereira | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Pereira | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Reese | 40c | 5,990$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Pereira | 57c | 5,226$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d4cebacked Reese | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Pereira | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Pereira | 62c | 4,835$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.25 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pereira | 60c | 4,534$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.44 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Reese | 70c | 4,351$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.41 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pereira | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Reese | 41c | 3,998$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.23 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Pereira | 62c | 3,820$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.65 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…abccbacked Reese | 40c | 3,790$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Reese | 64c | 3,662$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.76 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Reese | 39c | 3,600$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.99 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Pereira | 60c | 3,434$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Reese | 39c | 3,244$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.71 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Pereira | 62c | 3,242$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Pereira | 58c | 3,032$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.43 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Pereira | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Reese | 38c | 2,850$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.98 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Pereira | 62c | 2,813$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.11 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reese | 64c | 2,788$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.8 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Reese | 53c | 2,743$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.67 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Pereira | 57c | 2,700$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.3 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Reese | 39c | 2,699$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Reese | 68c | 2,600$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.2 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Reese | 40c | 2,579$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.32 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Reese | 40c | 2,520$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.31 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…92b4backed Reese | 39c | 2,492$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pereira | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.31 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…4026backed Reese | 39c | 2,275$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Pereira | 50c | 2,180$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.22 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Reese | 40c | 2,098$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reese | 41c | 2,079$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.9 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pereira | 61c | 2,032$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.71 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Pereira | 50c | 2,007$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…2089backed Pereira | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Pereira | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Pereira | 61c | 1,900$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Reese | 40c | 1,877$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.67 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Reese | 40c | 1,843$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Reese | 36c | 1,818$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.45 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Reese | 50c | 1,779$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.08 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Reese | 40c | 1,770$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.61 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Pereira | 49c | 1,701$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.46 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Pereira | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Reese | 40c | 1,680$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…b9c5backed Pereira | 61c | 1,652$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Reese | 39c | 1,640$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Reese | 68c | 1,637$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Reese | 55c | 1,631$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.76 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Reese | 39c | 1,615$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pereira | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Reese | 53c | 1,586$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.24 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Reese | 49c | 1,512$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.46 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Reese | 40c | 1,500$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.39 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pereira | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Reese | 3c | 1,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pereira | 34c | 1,378$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.71 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Reese | 61c | 1,352$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.47 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Reese | 41c | 1,333$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.38 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Pereira | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pereira | 53c | 1,285$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.66 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Reese | 41c | 1,226$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.82 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Reese | 39c | 1,130$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.62 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reese | 46c | 1,100$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.39 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.