MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16387cc16267d1c7682d1be1c47c8c61078b535b5df6136ce9a5b77ff20db4d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,180,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,276,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,180,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 602,634$234,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368,133.02 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 315,692$192,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,571.82 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 96,784$58,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,628.26 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 80,000$48,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,800 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 70,021$30,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,358.32 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 69,627$34,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,012.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 50,789$30,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,731.43 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 23,923$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,922.68 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 23,750$14,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,725 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 18,719$11,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,520.71 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 12,385$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 12,235$7,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,556.41 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 10,552$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,429.95 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 10,500$6,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,390 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 10,341$5,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,953.3 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 9,999$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.39 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 7,717$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.04 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 6,410$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.24 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 6,385$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.06 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 4,406$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.66 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 4,397$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.79 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…b112backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 4,158$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 4,097$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.4 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 3,742$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.92 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 3,515$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.45 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 3,492$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.36 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 3,259$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.42 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 3,035$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 3,013$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 3,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,888$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.77 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 2,800$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 2,776$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 2,604$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 2,573$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.39 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 2,422$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 2,212$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.06 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 2,114$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.33 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 2,016$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 2,015$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.1 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,998$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 1,900$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 1,698$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,689$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.51 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 1,653$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,581$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…6527backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,466$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.22 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,452$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 1,373$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,247$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.2 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,242$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,217$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.83 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.84 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,169$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.17 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,149$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.05 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 1,148$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,100$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…ca42backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 1,034$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,031$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.46 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 1,002$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.73 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…2027backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 994.86$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.34 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 958.94$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.87 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 925$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.75 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 909.74$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.19 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 909.2$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 888$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 870.77$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.77 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 842.34$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.56 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 773.44$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.39 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 746.46$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.55 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 738.46$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 709.57$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.95 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 647.6$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.66 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 640.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.98 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 609.76$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.86 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 605.86$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.57 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 600$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 550$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 541.68$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.19 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…e2d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 512$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.