MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a308c041d68b60e049d34ba2a8dfe259266816272d28b0bccd3d16720af1734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 48c | 41,008$19,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,324.39 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 10,534$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.68 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 7,454$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.95 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 4,983$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.04 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 4,081$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.58 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 62c | 4,032$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.26 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 45c | 2,732$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.28 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 2,463$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.98 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 2,360$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.64 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 36c | 1,847$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.97 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…7ac2backed Under | 49c | 1,596$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 1,263$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.39 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 1,160$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.2 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 1,083$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 47c | 1,020$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.56 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 971.22$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.07 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 800$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 52c | 759.25$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.81 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Under | 63c | 700.9$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.33 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 53c | 679.38$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.07 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 53c | 668.87$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 660$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 447.77$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.32 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 51c | 393.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.69 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Under | 48c | 390$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 51c | 364.42$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 352.06$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 351.21$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.63 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 231.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 200.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 49c | 196.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f1…0f70backed Under | 48c | 191.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe249…86fabacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 45c | 175$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 53c | 150.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 142$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 123.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…a8a1backed Over | 52c | 111$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Under | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 53c | 71.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 59c | 62.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 53c | 62.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…6dd3backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 48c | 53.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 59c | 51.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 53c | 49.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 53c | 45.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 53c | 45.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 53c | 44.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 53c | 41.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…9622backed Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Over | 53c | 19.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.