NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde5531e56453ae55fe72c99a52637e181a917f92c9c6c4ca82cb87ea8555d3d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Lightning, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,238,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,287,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,238,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 723 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 56c | 251,907$140,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,484.76 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Senators | 59c | 124,965$73,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,506.92 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 45c | 120,000$54,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,382.91 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lightning | 42c | 96,916$40,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,796.82 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Lightning | 44c | 91,000$40,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,039.94 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Senators | 57c | 87,614$50,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,417.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Lightning | 45c | 70,406$31,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,682.7 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Senators | 57c | 59,246$33,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,343.08 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Lightning | 44c | 51,111$22,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,277.73 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Lightning | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 55c | 45,300$24,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,322 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 42c | 41,269$17,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,328.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lightning | 45c | 41,156$18,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,520.05 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Lightning | 41c | 39,979$16,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,553 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Senators | 54c | 34,094$18,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,719.33 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Senators | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 58c | 28,862$16,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,126.79 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lightning | 36c | 21,902$7,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,960.55 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Senators | 54c | 14,999$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.75 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 55c | 13,622$7,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,088.22 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Senators | 57c | 13,277$7,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,709.21 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 54c | 13,000$7,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Lightning | 44c | 12,345$5,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,431.8 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Senators | 53c | 12,110$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,693.05 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 43c | 12,000$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187.06 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Lightning | 43c | 11,691$5,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.02 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lightning | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.97 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Senators | 55c | 9,090$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 44c | 8,849$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.7 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lightning | 44c | 8,500$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Senators | 55c | 8,437$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.3 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lightning | 44c | 8,344$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.78 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lightning | 42c | 8,108$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.26 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Senators | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Lightning | 50c | 7,934$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Senators | 56c | 7,890$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.71 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Lightning | 46c | 7,095$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.76 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lightning | 42c | 7,062$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.12 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Lightning | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Senators | 55c | 6,907$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.29 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed Lightning | 48c | 6,747$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 31c | 6,647$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.56 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Lightning | 45c | 6,500$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Lightning | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Senators | 59c | 6,349$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.88 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Senators | 59c | 6,342$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.85 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 50c | 6,042$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.83 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Senators | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Lightning | 42c | 5,960$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.22 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Senators | 59c | 5,884$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.54 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Lightning | 46c | 5,849$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Lightning | 42c | 5,786$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.57 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…d750backed Senators | 55c | 5,551$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Senators | 55c | 5,550$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.5 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Senators | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Lightning | 44c | 5,500$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Senators | 55c | 5,454$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Lightning | 46c | 5,263$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.97 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Lightning | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Senators | 56c | 4,601$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.88 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Senators | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Senators | 59c | 4,531$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.29 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Senators | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Senators | 59c | 3,952$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.66 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Senators | 79c | 3,893$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.08 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Senators | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Lightning | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Lightning | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…6813backed Lightning | 45c | 2,800$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 66c | 2,651$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.62 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lightning | 43c | 2,419$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.17 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Senators | 59c | 2,404$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.65 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Lightning | 11c | 2,375$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed Lightning | 45c | 2,221$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.38 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Lightning | 45c | 2,210$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lightning | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 39c | 2,099$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 41c | 2,073$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Senators | 62c | 2,058$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Lightning | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Senators | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed Lightning | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Lightning | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lightning | 41c | 1,942$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.06 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…ca2fbacked Lightning | 46c | 1,874$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…a7edbacked Senators | 55c | 1,874$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Senators | 65c | 1,853$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.06 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Senators | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Senators | 56c | 1,609$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.73 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Lightning | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lightning | 42c | 1,532$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.51 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Senators | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Senators | 63c | 1,363$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.26 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Senators | 60c | 1,362$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.49 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Senatorsthis page
- Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.