NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfbccaaa215dfd9f52df98eabe64bfe8e612e382ad9a3f6263a5f911ee696552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $982,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $986,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $982,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 53c | 595,674$313,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313,852.84 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 47c | 350,010$164,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185,505.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 48c | 108,917$52,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,726.07 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 49c | 104,504$50,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,547.97 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 96,000$48,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,799.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 47c | 90,000$42,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,700.12 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 48,530$25,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,051.92 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Over | 49c | 40,622$20,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,609.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 38,188$20,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,140.91 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 20,502$10,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,456.02 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 19,905$10,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,450.16 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 47c | 17,809$8,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,438.77 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 50c | 16,602$8,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,328.53 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 15,188$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950.16 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Over | 51c | 13,686$6,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,766.21 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Over | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,759.98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 48c | 11,233$5,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.16 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Over | 49c | 10,441$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.96 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 8,589$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.9 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 51c | 8,184$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.72 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Under | 50c | 8,087$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.37 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 7,859$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,045.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 48c | 6,581$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.84 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 53c | 6,572$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.96 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 6,532$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.65 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 4,552$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 32c | 4,408$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.19 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 53c | 3,921$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.8 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 51c | 3,308$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.17 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 49c | 3,023$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.53 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 2,436$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.12 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 49c | 2,250$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.97 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 49c | 1,999$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.72 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 51c | 1,809$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.73 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,617$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.02 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 1,448$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.89 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 1,320$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.14 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 1,225$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,164$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 53c | 1,138$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.88 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…c44ebacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…b570backed Under | 51c | 964.59$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 890.59$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.7 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 865.71$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.17 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 864.32$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.06 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 64c | 845.3$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 52c | 828.33$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.73 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 52c | 785.4$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.14 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 36c | 738.68$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.76 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 48c | 724.32$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 29c | 723.47$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.26 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Over | 48c | 706.91$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.91 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 51c | 701.45$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Over | 49c | 686.94$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.94 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 47c | 599.96$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.98 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 48c | 599.91$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.95 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 510$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Under | 53c | 503.75$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 52c | 471.27$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 52c | 453.93$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…af96backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252a…ae9fbacked Over | 48c | 401.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 399$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.49 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…98cebacked Under | 52c | 393.65$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…4183backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 29c | 391.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.25 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 19c | 390$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.78 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Over | 48c | 364.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Over | 48c | 364.43$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.43 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Over | 48c | 361.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 49c | 351.02$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…22a7backed Over | 48c | 342.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0731…5194backed Under | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Under | 51c | 296.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.07 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 49c | 296$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…735fbacked Under | 52c | 287.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 18c | 263.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.55 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 259$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 47c | 257.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Under | 53c | 253.91$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 48c | 235.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 20c | 235.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…5ce2backed Over | 49c | 234.76$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 52c | 229.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Lightning vs. SenatorsSenators won
- Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.