TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb73…af96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 63 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$166.23
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.7
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.27
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$186.77
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.24
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.13
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.7
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.58
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.5%+$328.14
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$291
Spread: Suns (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,127.9
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$201.79
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$133.29
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.18
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$464.71
Senators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Utah vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$88.04
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+150.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+124.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.09
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$50.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$121.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$81.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.