NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf87e772ea1c22bc81b247d4e7bf2f04ad3237c74ed6d9126f829be1344adb75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Thunder | 56c | 24,320$13,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,723.28 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 74c | 16,967$12,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,555.7 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 44c | 11,015$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,218.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 62c | 6,153$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.82 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 67c | 3,466$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Nuggets | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.98 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 75c | 2,232$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.65 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 43c | 2,047$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.82 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets | 39c | 2,045$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.4 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Thunder | 57c | 1,783$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.29 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Nuggets | 40c | 1,702$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.04 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Thunder | 56c | 1,655$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.05 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Nuggets | 35c | 1,443$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.89 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thunder | 76c | 1,368$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.02 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Thunder | 54c | 1,288$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.51 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Nuggets | 41c | 1,183$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.09 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Nuggets | 43c | 1,128$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.39 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets | 39c | 1,072$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.2 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Nuggets | 46c | 925.53$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.79 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 43c | 840.42$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.3 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 43c | 814.38$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Nuggets | 43c | 810.91$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 42c | 728.84$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.4 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…af96backed Nuggets | 37c | 520.58$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.14 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 52c | 517.24$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.89 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Thunder | 72c | 451.93$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.77 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Nuggets | 23c | 435.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.54 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Thunder | 73c | 424.74$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.93 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Nuggets | 41c | 394.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.55 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Thunder | 53c | 394.81$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Nuggets | 15c | 250$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nuggets | 46c | 245.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 74c | 232.9$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Nuggets | 31c | 221$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Nuggets | 26c | 211.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.07 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Nuggets | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 77c | 195.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Thunder | 70c | 191.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Nuggets | 23c | 190.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Thunder | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Thunder | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Nuggets | 47c | 169.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 44c | 166.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Nuggets | 44c | 166.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 74c | 161.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 146.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Thunder | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Nuggets | 43c | 128.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 52c | 109.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 73c | 106.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets | 46c | 104.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nuggets | 43c | 100.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Thunder | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Nuggets | 43c | 96.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Nuggets | 36c | 95.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +70%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Thunder | 54c | 93.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Thunder | 74c | 91.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 46c | 87.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets | 29c | 85.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Nuggets | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Thunder | 54c | 71.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nuggets | 28c | 71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Thunder | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Nuggets | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Thunder | 68c | 64.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Nuggets | 27c | 62.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Nuggets | 41c | 57.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Thunder | 54c | 52.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…2502backed Nuggets | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nuggets | 26c | 50.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Nuggets | 42c | 49.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Nuggets | 32c | 48.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nuggets | 45c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Thunder | 73c | 46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Nuggets | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Nuggets | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Thunder | 60c | 35.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…94fbbacked Thunder | 74c | 31.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…fea6backed Thunder | 58c | 29.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Thunder | 54c | 29.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Thunder | 54c | 28.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Nuggets | 47c | 27.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Thunder | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Thunder | 54c | 27.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Thunder | 54c | 27.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Thunder | 54c | 27.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Thunder | 66c | 25.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Thunder | 54c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Thunder | 54c | 24.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Nuggets | 43c | 24.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Thunder | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Thunder | 56c | 20.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Thunder vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.