NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde11f0a9e8fc9c027f224d68f758834e98181f46a03dba5fd5ea22cad838fb31

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $118,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $118,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,797 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Over	43c	24,695$10,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,090.64	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	55c	18,334$10,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,027.7	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	59c	11,851$7,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,844.19	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	50c	7,828$3,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,949.67	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Under	69c	6,297$4,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,323.52	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-9.3wins	-0.18per pick	57cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	37c	5,863$2,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,697.3	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	59c	4,471$2,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,633.43	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over	48c	4,077$1,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,140.42	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	3,335$1,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,592.77	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	50c	2,985$1,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,492.2	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over	43c	2,500$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,424.82	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over	42c	2,220$924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,295.9	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under	70c	2,090$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.44	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-9.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Under	51c	2,034$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,028.6	369	54.7%202 W · 167 L	+28.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over	52c	1,868$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.49	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	56c	1,551$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.22	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over	29c	1,500$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.11	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa19…e444backed Over	52c	1,474$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.13	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+5.0wins	+0.36per pick	50cpaid	+71.5%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed Under	50c	1,369$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.82	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under	77c	1,337$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.02	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	67cpaid	-39%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	49c	1,312$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.95	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under	72c	1,289$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.27	183	45.9%84 W · 99 L	-16.4wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	1c	1,200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	123	6.5%8 W · 115 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over	41c	1,184$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.79	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	50c	1,048$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.45	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	67c	992.03$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.05	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over	45c	971.64$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.4	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	57c	959.66$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.03	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Over	40c	921.05$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	44c	877.89$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.32	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under	51c	841.44$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.24	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under	50c	836.14$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.07	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Over	53c	800.12$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.06	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	50c	799.99$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Under	49c	793.33$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.73	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-6.9wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b9f…5e45backed Under	49c	791.35$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.76	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+77.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under	71c	761.17$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.43	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Over	49c	742.01$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.43	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under	73c	632.93$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.04	311	51.1%159 W · 152 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Under	4c	600$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over	33c	582.3$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.35	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under	72c	560.88$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.08	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-6.4wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	53c	520.3$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.51	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	56c	506.27$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.47	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	53c	499.47$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.94	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under	76c	454.76$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.93	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over	44c	439.27$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.99	95	46.3%44 W · 51 L	-11.2wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ada…d690backed Over	43c	427.38$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.61	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+25%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under	4c	384$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	126	37.3%47 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	52c	356.17$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.91	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under	49c	336.07$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.67	201	46.8%94 W · 107 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over	41c	296.16$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.54	313	54.3%170 W · 143 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Under	68c	289.78$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.12	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	51c	273.78$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.98	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	55c	267.91$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.27	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over	42c	252.79$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.62	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	46c	245.38$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.15	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over	33c	241.4$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.74	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	-7.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over	42c	234.18$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.07	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under	11c	228$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	54c	221.45$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.67	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over	46c	214.51$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.84	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e8…e142backed Under	71c	207.59$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.39	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over	30c	205.81$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.29	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x878c…2f83backed Under	51c	192.12$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.03	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over	52c	186.77$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.65	136	55.9%76 W · 60 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over	52c	186.77$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.65	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under	48c	179.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.39	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over	36c	179.64$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.44	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	-9.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	60c	178.93$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.36	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under	53c	173.42$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.47	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	53c	173.42$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.47	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under	18c	170.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.47	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under	28c	162$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.58	404	40.1%162 W · 242 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	54c	159.85$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.55	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	52c	158.46$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.06	188	44.7%84 W · 104 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over	46c	154.05$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.28	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under	80c	149.31$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.97	125	58.4%73 W · 52 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	58c	144.11$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.58	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	31c	140.04$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.61	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cb…9b76backed Over	42c	139.09$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.68	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Under	71c	137.86$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.28	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	55c	136.61$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.9	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Under	58c	136.1$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.96	31	74.2%23 W · 8 L	+4.0wins	+0.13per pick	61cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34c5…cf83backed Under	64c	129.96$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.82	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	58c	128.75$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.13	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under	58c	127.8$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.14	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Under	68c	127.79$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.9	37	73%27 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	72cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over	46c	124.97$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.88	253	60.1%152 W · 101 L	+26.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Under	79c	124.34$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.77	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	76cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d8…288ebacked Under	68c	115.9$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.91	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under	51c	114.28$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.23	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	51c	112.73$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.73	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	53c	112.16$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.57	520	53.3%277 W · 243 L	+29.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under	21c	107$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.57	455	44.8%204 W · 251 L	+21.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x721b…a873backed Over	46c	104.68$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.24	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Under	48c	104.66$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.24	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+38%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Over	52c	102.09$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.95	192	58.3%112 W · 80 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 6.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 7.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
Thunder vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event