NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5df2faa925150238e2d0d1536a079aa7cd528528e63038fbb776ee1da4ced7d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Thunder | 52c | 54,281$28,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,116.5 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 71c | 41,892$29,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,743.13 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Thunder | 55c | 30,581$16,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,925.2 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 59c | 21,422$12,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,594.01 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 49c | 20,660$10,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,122.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 43c | 17,331$7,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,833.72 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 46c | 15,759$7,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,528.35 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 15,555$7,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.5 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Thunder | 76c | 11,250$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 53c | 10,763$5,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.22 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 46c | 10,410$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,628.23 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 51c | 9,851$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.89 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 48c | 8,949$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.04 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 55c | 8,131$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464.5 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 8,101$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 7,343$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.27 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Nuggets | 25c | 7,288$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.78 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Thunder | 49c | 6,591$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.67 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 56c | 6,007$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Nuggets | 36c | 5,547$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.47 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Thunder | 66c | 5,348$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.42 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 55c | 5,185$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.34 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Thunder | 49c | 5,070$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.26 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 44c | 4,889$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 55c | 4,540$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 45c | 4,296$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.02 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thunder | 74c | 4,196$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.63 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 66c | 4,053$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Thunder | 49c | 3,432$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.51 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 55c | 3,345$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.99 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 55c | 3,150$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.49 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Nuggets | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.99 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Nuggets | 32c | 2,449$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.07 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 2,298$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.17 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Nuggets | 42c | 2,196$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.02 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Thunder | 67c | 2,189$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.13 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Nuggets | 33c | 2,178$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.23 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Nuggets | 40c | 2,103$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.52 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nuggets | 26c | 2,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.89 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,962$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.4 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…9812backed Thunder | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Thunder | 69c | 1,563$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.01 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Thunder | 70c | 1,458$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.51 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Thunder | 71c | 1,371$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.39 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Nuggets | 42c | 1,323$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.52 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Nuggets | 44c | 1,206$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.74 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Thunder | 60c | 1,109$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.44 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Nuggets | 43c | 1,066$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.17 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Thunder | 20c | 1,047$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Nuggets | 41c | 1,013$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.88 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Nuggets | 33c | 872.55$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.61 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Thunder | 71c | 791.15$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.71 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 49c | 787.76$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 21c | 754.68$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Thunder | 70c | 746.52$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.38 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Thunder | 29c | 736.53$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.34 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 20c | 719.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.89 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0980…bdaabacked Thunder | 71c | 696.07$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Thunder | 50c | 679$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Nuggets | 18c | 673.13$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.49 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Thunder | 48c | 618.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Thunder | 50c | 611.1$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.55 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Thunder | 45c | 603.56$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.75 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Nuggets | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Thunder | 70c | 562.55$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.7 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Nuggets | 47c | 551.07$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.74 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Nuggets | 32c | 501.75$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.39 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Nuggets | 52c | 494.94$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.57 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Nuggets | 31c | 463.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.05 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Thunder | 21c | 444.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Thunder | 73c | 411.89$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets | 53c | 410.31$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 49c | 403.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.62 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Nuggets | 27c | 400.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.81 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Thunder | 49c | 399.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Thunder | 71c | 395.82$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.88 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Thunder | 48c | 386.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.73 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…1a91backed Nuggets | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Nuggets | 44c | 375.64$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.36 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Nuggets | 16c | 364.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.59 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 67c | 352.18$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.54 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Thunder | 20c | 333.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…8ad8backed Thunder | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Nuggets | 33c | 292.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Nuggets | 33c | 291.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…c109backed Thunder | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Thunder | 67c | 286.23$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Nuggets | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 27c | 282.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 269.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Nuggets | 28c | 262.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.59 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Nuggets | 43c | 261$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Thunder | 77c | 256.92$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.21 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Nuggets | 60c | 251.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Thunder vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.