NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67fdea44cf3f02e3c31cbe358d545a614c615f1c168909d74bfae1f32663866c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $762,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $985,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $762,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Senators | 55c | 197,976$108,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,089.11 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 45c | 185,383$83,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,422.28 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Senators | 54c | 56,575$30,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,066.67 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Islanders | 45c | 53,343$23,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,967.28 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Islanders | 30c | 33,341$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Senators | 70c | 31,063$21,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,318.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Islanders | 35c | 23,859$8,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,459.68 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Senators | 55c | 22,800$12,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,260 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Islanders | 45c | 18,888$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.6 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 68c | 14,154$9,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.73 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…2075backed Senators | 55c | 12,194$6,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 46c | 11,141$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,124.86 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Islanders | 46c | 8,400$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Senators | 55c | 7,700$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Islanders | 46c | 6,381$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.41 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 46c | 6,000$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.02 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Senators | 52c | 5,614$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.68 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 46c | 5,055$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 68c | 4,706$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Islanders | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Islanders | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Islanders | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 70c | 3,981$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.79 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Senators | 70c | 3,974$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.1 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 54c | 3,654$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.65 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 52c | 3,400$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.84 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 46c | 3,215$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Senators | 67c | 3,060$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.63 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Islanders | 24c | 3,046$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.95 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Senators | 54c | 3,036$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.69 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Senators | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Islanders | 47c | 2,851$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 79c | 2,741$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.01 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Islanders | 47c | 2,561$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.27 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Islanders | 20c | 2,501$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Islanders | 45c | 2,410$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.5 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Senators | 54c | 2,287$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.79 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Islanders | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Islanders | 46c | 2,130$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.64 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Islanders | 33c | 2,101$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Islanders | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.03 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Islanders | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Islanders | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…888dbacked Islanders | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…6092backed Senators | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Islanders | 25c | 1,995$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.46 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Senators | 73c | 1,988$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.93 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Senators | 74c | 1,875$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.04 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…b9f6backed Senators | 55c | 1,871$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x491e…bb0bbacked Islanders | 46c | 1,871$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Senators | 74c | 1,822$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.04 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Senators | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Senators | 54c | 1,784$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.07 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Islanders | 23c | 1,777$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.55 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators | 54c | 1,764$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.63 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Senators | 67c | 1,727$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.5 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Islanders | 5c | 1,657$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Senators | 74c | 1,622$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 20c | 1,523$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.38 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…d750backed Islanders | 45c | 1,511$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Senators | 75c | 1,463$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Islanders | 25c | 1,452$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.87 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Senators | 54c | 1,394$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.09 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 55c | 1,307$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.14 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Islanders | 46c | 1,261$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.56 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Senators | 75c | 1,208$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Senators | 70c | 1,111$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.3 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…4c94backed Senators | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Senators | 54c | 1,043$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.84 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Senators | 75c | 1,002$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.9 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Senators | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Islanders | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Islanders | 19c | 979.34$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Senators | 78c | 958.21$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.97 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Islanders | 20c | 952$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Senators | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9baf…bd11backed Islanders | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Islanders | 28c | 830$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Islanders | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Islanders | 26c | 805$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.3 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Islanders | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Senators | 53c | 799.98$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.99 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Senators | 54c | 767.8$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.19 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Senators | 53c | 748.63$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.86 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Senators | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 50c | 698.77$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.39 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Senators | 73c | 681.45$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Senators | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Islanders | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Senators | 54c | 618.31$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…3906backed Islanders | 33c | 618.18$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Islanders | 45c | 556$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Islanders | 46c | 552.17$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Islanders | 46c | 549.24$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.65 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Islanders | 32c | 539.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Senators | 68c | 512.66$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.49 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Islanders | 43c | 508.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Senators | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Islanders | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Senators | 68c | 466.17$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Islandersthis page
- Senators vs. Islanders: O/U 3.5Under won
- Senators vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Under won
- Senators vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.