NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304d0d0343c79571066beaa0a0fda7009cbd04345100cf316b6514f9577a5cb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $467,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Flyers | 42c | 61,789$25,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,837.48 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Penguins | 57c | 51,484$29,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,345.81 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Penguins | 0c | 50,930$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Penguins | 58c | 50,528$29,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,306.16 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 25c | 32,351$8,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,118.61 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Flyers | 45c | 24,043$10,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,260.01 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 43c | 22,991$9,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,104.61 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Penguins | 58c | 22,420$13,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,003.83 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 54c | 20,688$11,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,202.31 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 58c | 16,730$9,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,703.4 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Flyers | 47c | 13,517$6,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,163.84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flyers | 42c | 11,330$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,594.97 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Flyers | 44c | 10,589$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936.01 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.78 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Flyers | 42c | 7,777$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Flyers | 43c | 6,738$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.74 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 54c | 6,483$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.64 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Penguins | 56c | 6,155$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.18 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers | 42c | 6,021$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.25 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Flyers | 78c | 6,014$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.46 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Penguins | 58c | 5,882$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.8 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Flyers | 42c | 5,533$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.14 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…65fabacked Penguins | 5c | 5,326$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 61c | 5,062$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.04 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Penguins | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.94 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Flyers | 42c | 4,596$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.79 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flyers | 42c | 4,201$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.3 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Flyers | 65c | 3,941$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.52 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Flyers | 42c | 3,407$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.85 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Flyers | 45c | 3,223$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 43c | 3,219$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.84 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flyers | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…0a2bbacked Flyers | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Flyers | 43c | 2,897$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.52 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Penguins | 56c | 2,627$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.02 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Penguins | 55c | 2,508$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.03 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Flyers | 60c | 2,477$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.94 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Penguins | 54c | 2,334$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.23 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Penguins | 55c | 2,316$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.37 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Flyers | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.72 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Flyers | 43c | 2,246$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.25 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Flyers | 70c | 2,156$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.84 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 55c | 2,115$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Penguins | 56c | 2,018$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.5 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Penguins | 57c | 2,006$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.76 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Flyers | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Penguins | 42c | 1,845$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.04 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Penguins | 1c | 1,743$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Flyers | 43c | 1,741$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.49 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Flyers | 50c | 1,715$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.28 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers | 79c | 1,626$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.09 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…f19abacked Flyers | 47c | 1,578$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flyers | 45c | 1,294$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.75 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Penguins | 54c | 1,262$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.21 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Penguins | 56c | 1,259$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.05 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Flyers | 44c | 1,244$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.5 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Flyers | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers | 43c | 1,124$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.6 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…e686backed Penguins | 58c | 1,124$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Flyers | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Penguins | 57c | 1,033$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.36 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Penguins | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.88 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Penguins | 4c | 1,005$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eeb…f025backed Flyers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flyers | 42c | 949.98$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.99 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Flyers | 42c | 945.61$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.46 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Flyers | 42c | 888$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.04 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Flyers | 47c | 885.16$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Penguins | 58c | 877.32$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.85 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…04a8backed Penguins | 58c | 873.56$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Flyers | 42c | 846.01$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.69 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Penguins | 59c | 829.62$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.47 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Penguins | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.7 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Penguins | 40c | 819.4$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.76 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 58c | 779.84$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.31 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Penguins | 25c | 776.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.39 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Flyers | 43c | 772.64$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Penguins | 55c | 752.02$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…1420backed Penguins | 56c | 748.44$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…d274backed Penguins | 58c | 689.85$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…5aa0backed Flyers | 43c | 676.06$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Flyers | 43c | 636.83$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.93 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 50c | 612.26$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.95 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Flyers | 66c | 604.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 7c | 597.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Flyers | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.49 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 51c | 542.95$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb6…9fe8backed Penguins | 58c | 536.14$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flyers | 66c | 532.97$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.02 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…3401backed Penguins | 56c | 517.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.07 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Penguins | 54c | 504.21$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flyers | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Flyers | 43c | 498.62$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.21 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Penguins | 59c | 495.3$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.23 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…6791backed Penguins | 58c | 495.18$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…8159backed Flyers | 43c | 492.83$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Penguins | 44c | 487.36$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Flyers | 63c | 484.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Flyers | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Penguins | 50c | 480.13$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Penguinsthis page
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.