TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe732…04a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.66
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.74
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$81.37
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72.91
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+97%+$165.79
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$198.33
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$352.14
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.68
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.77
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.04
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$121.46
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$113.5
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$101.67
Will Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.13
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.62
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.45
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.66
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$243.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$196.57
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$99.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.56
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$277.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$114.85
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.61
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$105.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+30.8%+$14.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.