TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd705…fb7cbacked No48c7,522$3,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.772634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c4,421$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.565,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes56c3,477$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No42c2,883$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.076355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes78c1,433$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.561,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed No28c1,379$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.018337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No26c1,212$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.31,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Yes55c1,206$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.551060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes78c1,160$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.21,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No36c1,056$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.743633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes71c1,033$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.051,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b45…e3febacked Yes70c1,027$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed No44c982.83$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.44850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No24c811.09$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2350746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Yes56c730.18$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes73c683.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2821132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No21c654.97$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5413545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No24c595.71$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2385220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No30c591.09$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.541,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes73c530.98$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.377047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No44c512.95$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes55c448.23$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.712330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Yes59c432.87$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.353562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes54c370$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.752864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes76c353.01$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.172,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes74c334.76$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0218543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked No31c289.13$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.632737%10 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Yes75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.672466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes66c253.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.354452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Yes79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.494555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…04a8backed Yes59c247.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.671435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No24c237.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5747756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes74c234.05$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.683,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No6c223.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No22c208.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.847758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x178a…88fcbacked Yes71c207.15$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84eb…869dbacked No21c197.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No8c181.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.939710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked No29c178.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.676529.2%19 W · 46 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No20c176.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5433745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No28c170.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9319356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed No27c160.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.592548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No21c137.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.972070%14 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes75c135$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7522049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes75c131.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.992853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb7…c6e4backed Yes67c130.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes74c114.07$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6616534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No22c106.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4921345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2361…c34ebacked Yes67c104.15$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No22c100.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2170055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3314254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed No30c96.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed No29c95.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.714731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8851654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No41c95.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes71c94.63$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4413451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Yes67c87.78$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No29c82.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.934042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Yes67c73.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.142572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba0e…3816backed Yes63c66.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c65.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.778,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa13…c84abacked No22c64.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No24c59.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6967548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Yes70c58.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.662669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No21c56.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9629053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No22c53.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6815457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Yes57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.056958%40 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff77…1be5backed No34c50.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747b…16fcbacked Yes59c49.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.651376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes67c49.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4144939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes72c49.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7911863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce22…5704backed No43c46.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Yes65c44.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.525172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes56c43.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2810146.5%47 W · 54 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2ca…39dbbacked Yes79c43.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c43.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.432,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Yes72c41.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.567265.3%47 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Yes61c40.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.087162%44 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82af…f919backed Yes74c40.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.573253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No29c39.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5929245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Yes72c38.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.066845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked No34c38.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.916043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes67c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes69c35.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.025028%14 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No44c34.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2571619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7bd…01debacked Yes74c33.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.441250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes79c31.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.641,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Yes61c31.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.131764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Yes36c31.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201540%6 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+100.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Yes57c31.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.412646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes70c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.329653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x603c…c46dbacked Yes55c30.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes72c28.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1325864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…04fbbacked No38c28.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.951618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked No42c27.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.593231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes67c27.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.027973.4%58 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.