TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x747b…16fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.41
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.22
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$20.4
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$20.65
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$32.34
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.98
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.02
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24.47
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.4
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$33.07
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$13.49
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.24
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.92
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$24.14
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.17
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.31
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$15.91
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.38
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.9
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+174%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$61.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$33.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.01
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$29.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$10.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.