South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e6f4ab96b32acf0e7e2b13aec996da1a791b3a738bfbfa89133d01d538d0c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a83…f94dbacked Yes | 79c | 4,671$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 21c | 4,133$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.96 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 3,694$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 3,299$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 61c | 1,983$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.82 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 22c | 1,610$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.71 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 49c | 1,413$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.65 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 1,399$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,099$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 1,086$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 40c | 998.66$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Yes | 60c | 716.74$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 53c | 670.96$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 74c | 521.27$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 13c | 471.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 67c | 427.28$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 73c | 363.3$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 76c | 356.22$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 22c | 348.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 45c | 287.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 74c | 263.74$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 73c | 246.56$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Yes | 75c | 243.72$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Yes | 56c | 235.82$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 77c | 233.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 45c | 233.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 74c | 186.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 26c | 183.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 23c | 162.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 26c | 152$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 60c | 148.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 57c | 142.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 8c | 141.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 25c | 113.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 27c | 110.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 23c | 105.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 22c | 97.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 51c | 97.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…16fcbacked Yes | 67c | 96.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…6c25backed No | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 78c | 96.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 24c | 87.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 79c | 86.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 40c | 76.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked No | 26c | 74.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 36c | 71.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 76c | 70.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 69.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Yes | 79c | 59.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 58.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Yes | 56c | 57.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 79c | 50.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 65c | 48.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ee…c29fbacked No | 27c | 42.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 77c | 37.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Yes | 54c | 32.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…a1f7backed Yes | 57c | 28.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82af…f919backed Yes | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…384ebacked Yes | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 57c | 21.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 71c | 20.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 80c | 16.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Yes | 74c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will Independiente del Valle vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.