TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No64c3,436$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.095,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes61c1,831$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.7419846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No43c1,637$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.976355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No39c1,580$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.262,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c1,400$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.281,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes34c1,252$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes30c1,111$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.271361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick33cpaid+72.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.015168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes57c952.16$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.983240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x63d8…ceb0backed Yes62c945.84$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c941.83$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.982,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No38c931.06$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.2442250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Yes53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.91877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c888.04$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.038,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2511…98f4backed Yes64c764.38$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes60c685.97$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2850643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7937…015cbacked Yes56c667.28$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No37c658.17$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.6310819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes22c655.51$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.966048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d1…f579backed Yes63c608.71$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.261936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No38c506.71$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1627549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No37c501.13$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.931,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes41c470.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.921369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No76c451.47$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24820846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No64c312.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.646357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8611127%30 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes58c299.25$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No39c260.31$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes62c256$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.725042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes57c246.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.281,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd30…42cfbacked Yes64c244.6$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.54540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No40c242.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4717143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes52c225.28$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2147758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes60c195.91$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4318452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No41c194.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0313545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes58c168.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.325864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No44c156.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.651,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes31c153.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.941833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed No64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.041428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-53.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.842157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4479…c84abacked No41c147.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+86.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3f…a5b2backed No44c147.11$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No43c132.19$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.359953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No36c129.68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes32c120.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3625625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…1dd8backed Yes10c111.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No46c109.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.943,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No55c101.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.971,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes64c97.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.629353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes61c97.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5751654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No37c88.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.551749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes50c86.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Yes60c85.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.442572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes34c85.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes36c80.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8513247.7%63 W · 69 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked No38c78.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9824253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca8…c044backed Yes57c78.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No45c76.77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed No46c73.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.16756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7c83backed Yes57c68.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.97666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…cb2bbacked Yes25c65.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.451346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed No63c61.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.491540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No39c60.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0950746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes31c58.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1826160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No43c57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.498439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes43c56.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2844959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes31c55.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1613023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No38c52.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8321359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No36c51.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.252,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ca…0d8fbacked Yes58c49.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes40c48.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes61c48.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.296541.5%27 W · 38 L-9.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes61c47.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2289645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes59c47.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1811861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes28c47.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.418350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Yes60c46.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed No49c45.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No36c43.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9225955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4d…d358backed Yes57c43.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked No46c42.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.163652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes46c42.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.361866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5924…e5a0backed Yes46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.353243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb1…cddbbacked Yes58c42.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.37560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0470055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdea9…be41backed Yes62c39.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.444645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7752…5db0backed Yes64c38.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4999…dea5backed Yes54c32.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No38c32.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…675cbacked No45c31.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.432744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No58c31.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3963261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed No38c28.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9111059.1%65 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No39c27.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5329053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes59c26.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.435648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c75…45febacked Yes64c25.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb543…8d9fbacked Yes56c24.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8740backed Yes63c23.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.