TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9ca…0d8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT5255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$12.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$19.2
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$14.56
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$80.54
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$124.74
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Tabilobacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$7.66
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$22.04
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$11.51
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.89
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$18.72
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.52
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.57
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.53
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$36.13
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.01
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$53.55
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$36.77
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.16
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.54
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.71
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabherbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.71
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.53
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.32
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$50.65
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$31.95
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.73
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.69
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$29.42
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.95
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.41
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.85
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$19.62
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.05
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$91.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.06
Will FC København win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$20.19
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$13.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.78
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
PortlandFire vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$14.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.