NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b6509d2504a671940c7c9967e56122bb30a4823b7d06bdad03d4f5a1021ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Senators, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,415,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,445,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,415,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 886 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Hurricanes | 58c | 248,793$144,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,493.21 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 243,191$142,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,969.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Senators | 42c | 218,155$91,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,625.24 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Senators | 43c | 164,643$70,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,796.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Hurricanes | 57c | 160,000$91,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,800 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 41c | 121,638$49,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,871.69 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Senators | 41c | 75,776$31,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,028.01 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Senators | 42c | 60,000$24,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,899.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Hurricanes | 59c | 49,669$29,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,408.94 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Senators | 26c | 38,691$10,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,059.73 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 36,485$21,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,958.82 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes | 74c | 35,314$26,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,173.34 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Senators | 41c | 29,611$12,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,140.49 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 42c | 24,202$10,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,164.84 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Hurricanes | 58c | 24,007$14,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,994.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Senators | 42c | 22,486$9,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,443.96 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Senators | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Senators | 41c | 18,000$7,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,380 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Senators | 28c | 17,742$4,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902.01 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Hurricanes | 58c | 16,246$9,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,823.33 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Senators | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.92 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 41c | 9,896$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.38 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Senators | 1c | 9,759$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Senators | 43c | 9,029$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 8,997$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.98 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes | 58c | 8,961$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.79 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 26c | 8,560$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.36 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Hurricanes | 69c | 7,844$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Hurricanes | 59c | 7,347$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.23 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Hurricanes | 58c | 7,022$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.53 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Senators | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Hurricanes | 56c | 7,000$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.99 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Senators | 3c | 6,459$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Senators | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Senators | 41c | 5,753$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.35 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 5,699$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Hurricanes | 57c | 5,666$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.29 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 5,462$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.41 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Hurricanes | 58c | 4,958$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Senators | 22c | 4,866$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Hurricanes | 58c | 4,760$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 42c | 4,698$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.35 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Senators | 35c | 4,581$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.62 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…008abacked Hurricanes | 58c | 4,446$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Senators | 12c | 4,372$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.35 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Hurricanes | 56c | 4,317$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Senators | 47c | 4,140$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.11 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Senators | 42c | 4,109$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.93 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Senators | 43c | 4,078$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.97 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Senators | 44c | 3,952$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.29 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators | 43c | 3,863$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.18 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 41c | 3,850$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.5 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Senators | 41c | 3,750$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.56 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 3,740$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.91 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Hurricanes | 74c | 3,582$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.35 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Senators | 15c | 3,575$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.42 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 3,306$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Senators | 41c | 3,217$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 41c | 3,207$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Senators | 34c | 3,087$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Senators | 22c | 2,987$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Hurricanes | 76c | 2,957$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.63 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Senators | 30c | 2,947$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.64 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 66c | 2,934$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.01 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Hurricanes | 58c | 2,707$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.95 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Hurricanes | 57c | 2,582$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 2,554$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.54 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Senators | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Senators | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Senators | 42c | 2,425$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.51 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…3badbacked Hurricanes | 56c | 2,276$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Senators | 25c | 2,200$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Hurricanes | 80c | 2,188$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Senators | 25c | 2,178$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.13 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Senators | 44c | 2,174$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.81 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Senators | 46c | 2,107$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.93 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Senators | 42c | 2,068$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.68 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Senators | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Hurricanes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Senators | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…8c15backed Hurricanes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Hurricanes | 58c | 1,950$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 33c | 1,910$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.26 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Senators | 44c | 1,849$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.73 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Senators | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Senators | 6c | 1,796$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Senators | 5c | 1,762$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Senators | 42c | 1,724$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.9 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Hurricanes | 61c | 1,718$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.48 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Hurricanes | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Senators | 42c | 1,680$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.58 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Hurricanes | 59c | 1,653$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.82 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Senators | 45c | 1,637$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.03 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hurricanes | 75c | 1,628$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.35 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Hurricanes | 75c | 1,599$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Hurricanes | 70c | 1,593$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.74 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Senators | 42c | 1,593$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.88 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Hurricanesthis page
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.