NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c7906d4eb46b430fa03a3792d1ce07dd0fafe260685d1e8cc6bae550810422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Over | 25c | 4,189$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.24 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 75c | 1,668$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.02 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…60aabacked Over | 27c | 1,452$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 75c | 1,313$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.33 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 24c | 1,278$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.71 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 76c | 950.1$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.07 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 77c | 932.48$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 75c | 667.94$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 494$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 10c | 397.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 76c | 250.75$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 26c | 220.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 24c | 210.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf49f…98c8backed Over | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 10c | 116.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…95ebbacked Under | 77c | 99.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 30c | 93.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 78c | 71.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 25c | 63.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5281…bdd8backed Under | 76c | 39.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 74c | 38.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Under | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0839…ee9cbacked Under | 80c | 22.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…c786backed Under | 76c | 21.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…7f12backed Under | 76c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6beabacked Under | 80c | 13.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5this page
- Senators vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.