TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$330,457
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,457 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Under46c171,103$78,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,395.5919848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over54c106,570$57,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,547.681,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Over54c98,907$53,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,409.7667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Under46c79,944$36,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,169.7916442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Over54c45,000$24,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,3001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c13,300$5,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,409.672,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over56c10,281$5,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,762.0310941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under46c9,234$4,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,976.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under32c9,204$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,244.6513841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c7…aadebacked Over54c7,737$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.23847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c3,892$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.641842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c3,200$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.996147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c2,989$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.141,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over54c2,344$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.7631848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under60c1,832$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.255240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over54c1,740$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.661959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c1,627$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.212,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under46c1,544$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.771,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under39c1,506$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.33,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over51c1,361$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.0112355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over43c1,347$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.577152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under49c1,246$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.6810650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over54c1,227$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.1927243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over54c1,086$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.442847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5408752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9962346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c963.2$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under44c943.68$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7718453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c810.33$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5847256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under55c787.32$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.697047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over51c759.3$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.456734.3%23 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Over54c690.4$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.823360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under47c659.34$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.451060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under46c631.04$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.766448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c592.23$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under44c582.76$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3426849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over56c562.2$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.834452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf7…b946backed Under47c538.65$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd567…1a45backed Over54c536.71$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over55c516.03$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3236852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under46c499.91$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9550251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1752…d274backed Over55c496.23$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.933135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over54c483.31$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5136349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over55c467.62$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1914052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under46c460.08$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.4138551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c460$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under46c427.68$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9521549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Under46c425.74$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.95147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under46c424.78$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.7347753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under46c421.39$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.922,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over55c372.44$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7712161.2%74 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c367$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8514551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over55c354.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5915051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over54c323.61$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.752846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over54c298.67$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9510540%42 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c292$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0986049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under72c285.4$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.773860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under44c261.84$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6327049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Under38c251.89$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.655446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over62c251.41$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1428340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over54c249.05$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.196046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under45c235.57$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4727659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under46c230$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.248552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf715…2c2abacked Over55c223.25$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.794247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Under46c218.74$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.062857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked Over55c214.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.84344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Under46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.595658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c206.08$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2853849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3746…9b06backed Under47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.18757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over55c203.58$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5911656%65 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10612536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under45c178.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4524442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc539…ca4ebacked Over56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.363557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Under46c168.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.879048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Under46c168.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.875451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over55c163.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8910357.3%59 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under46c159.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1217553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0425449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over57c151.09$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4849851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over55c145.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2742750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7759950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Under50c137.53$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.144254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Under46c126.21$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.157552%39 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeedf…71e6backed Over47c122.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.23951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Over56c119.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1916250%81 W · 81 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Over54c116.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2429052.4%152 W · 138 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Over56c110.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.087156.3%40 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Over56c109.53$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3432155.5%178 W · 143 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over44c106.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2320855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Over56c106.05$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3924352.3%127 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Over56c106.05$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3929053.4%155 W · 135 L+1.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed Over55c104.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5811248.2%54 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under51c102.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.244355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over56c102.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6249053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under46c102.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.061,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a7…22a7backed Over56c101.46$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.828659.3%51 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81fd…1cd0backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over11c98.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.524738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.