NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac9d9ee22b6902cbd230e5ab369555daff2a8c1391d98280006e4433553693eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Hurricanes, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes | 34c | 4,286$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.34 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 65c | 3,368$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.86 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Hurricanes | 35c | 2,059$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.75 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Hurricanes | 34c | 1,366$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.78 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 66c | 1,039$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.26 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Senators | 66c | 921.58$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.91 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Hurricanes | 35c | 821.47$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.27 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Senators | 65c | 469.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Hurricanes | 35c | 413.05$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Hurricanes | 35c | 411.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Senators | 65c | 404.86$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 74c | 378.42$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes | 35c | 320.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Senators | 65c | 319.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Senators | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…d274backed Senators | 66c | 293.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Hurricanes | 36c | 292.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Senators | 50c | 290.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Hurricanes | 39c | 290.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Hurricanes | 50c | 281.3$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +71%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Hurricanes | 35c | 237.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…1afbbacked Senators | 66c | 222.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Hurricanes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Senators | 78c | 199.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Senators | 51c | 185.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Senators | 66c | 178.11$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Hurricanes | 24c | 171.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Hurricanes | 36c | 155.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Senators | 66c | 118.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Senators | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Senators | 59c | 114.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Hurricanes | 35c | 108.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…6754backed Hurricanes | 51c | 104.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe420…09afbacked Hurricanes | 17c | 89.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 50c | 89.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Senators | 66c | 89.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Senators | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Senators | 66c | 75.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Senators | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Senators | 66c | 65.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Senators | 51c | 63.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Hurricanes | 32c | 60.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Hurricanes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Senators | 66c | 51.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Senators | 54c | 47.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Hurricanes | 50c | 39.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Senators | 65c | 31.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Senators | 66c | 31.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Senators | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Senators | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Hurricanes | 52c | 24.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Senators | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Senators | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 22.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Senators | 66c | 20.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Hurricanes | 53c | 19.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Senators vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.