MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14bb5c129d78593ef75384a5d061c7f9e806668897e5e7271a823fbab3ee933b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $437,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 19,502$11,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,232.43 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 16,488$8,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,561.72 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 16,161$6,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,543.37 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 13,846$9,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.66 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 13,562$10,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.38 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 13,394$6,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,831.08 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 12,350$6,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.11 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 11,653$6,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,991.73 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 10,334$4,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,493.3 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 9,705$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.26 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 7,131$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.29 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 5,987$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.03 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 5,835$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.54 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 5,768$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.38 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 5,547$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.64 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 5,500$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 4,939$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.32 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 80c | 4,812$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.07 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 4,773$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.19 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 4,295$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.41 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 4,244$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.39 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 4,180$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.16 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 4,176$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 4,068$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.47 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,797$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.29 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…76e2backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 3,632$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 3,332$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.51 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,294$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 3,229$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.65 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked San Diego Padres | 77c | 2,909$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 2,860$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,462$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.14 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 2,221$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.73 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed San Diego Padres | 14c | 2,032$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.77 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,895$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 1,792$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.67 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 1,615$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.06 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 1,574$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.43 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 1,529$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.88 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 1,340$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.05 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,287$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.57 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,244$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.76 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,149$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.48 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,081$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.33 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 1,055$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.1 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,046$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.61 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aae…1c65backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,006$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…a6c6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 958.57$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.26 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 938.94$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 909.57$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.97 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 900.57$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.47 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 875.74$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.13 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked San Diego Padres | 16c | 800$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 779.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.42 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 766.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.33 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 711.98$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.11 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 650.02$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.01 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 641.32$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.87 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 623.4$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.62 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 540.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 536.78$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.76 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 535.09$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…544dbacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 532.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 523.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.88 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 509.81$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.49 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 497.67$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 496.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 478.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked San Diego Padres | 16c | 475.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.58 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 462.49$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.87 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 412.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 409.67$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 397.45$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 396.82$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 396.36$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 393.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 389.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 382.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.01 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 361.47$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 355.83$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.64 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 352.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 341.34$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 327.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.04 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked San Diego Padres | 63c | 319.68$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 315.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 308.49$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 307.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 295.14$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…41dabacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 14.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 16.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.